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International Consolidated Airlines in confident mood

RESULTS: Progress on restructuring at Iberia and big profits at British Airways have softened our stance on IAG
February 28, 2013

International Consolidated Airlines (IAG) lost almost €1bn (£860m) last year, but its operating performance was much better than both it, and the City, had expected and forces us to revise our view of the company.

IC TIP: Hold at 238p

Spending €202m on restructuring at Iberia and writing down the value of the Spanish airline's assets by €343m scarred the bottom line. Still, strip that out and the operating loss was just €68m - or €23m after ignoring other one-offs - compared with guidance in November for a €120m shortfall. A €347m profit at British Airways was more than expected and compensated for a €351m loss at Iberia, also slightly better than feared. So was a fourth quarter underlying loss of just €40m - thanks to the speedy integration of bmi, which made up for struggling Iberia.

Cost savings of €313m were well above the €225m target, too, but chief executive Willie Walsh admits the outcome for 2013 depends largely on fixing Iberia. Workers there have started a series of five-day strikes in protest, yet IAG has already started the process of sacking more than 3,800 workers and cutting pay for the rest. It plans to reduce capacity by 15 per cent and begin a €600m turnaround in profits there. Of course, industrial action is costly, but Mr Walsh still thinks this year's underlying operating profit will top the €485m it made in 2011. Investec Securities believes it could be as much as €505.4m.

INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES (IAG)

ORD PRICE:238pMARKET VALUE:£4.42bn
TOUCH:238-239p12-MONTH HIGH:239pLOW:   136p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE 256¢*NET DEBT:37%

Year to 31 DecTurnover (€bn)Pre-tax profit (€m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
200913.5-1158-42.0nil
201014.884.017.1**nil
201116.350331.1†nil
201218.1-997-49.0nil
% change+11---

*Includes intangible assets of €1.97bn, or 106¢ a share

**Refers solely to British Airways' figures for the first nine months of the year

†Excludes 21 days of Iberia pre-merger

£1=€1.16