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Hardy secures arbitration award

RESULT: Hardy Oil & Gas has received a favourable ruling in relation to the Ganesha-1 gas discovery but, with a busy schedule through to 2014, cash could become an issue
March 7, 2013

With no current production, there are few meaningful financial comparisons within the 2012 full-year results of Hardy Oil & Gas (HDY) , beyond the rate of cash-burn. However, the report does reflect some progress linked to operational and arbitration issues, although the recommencement of production at the PY-3 field is at least a year away.

IC TIP: Hold at 119p

Exploration drilling is set to recommence at the flagship Krishna Godavari D3 licence on India's east coast. The licence contains the Dhirubhai gas discoveries, which are the subject of a revised Declaration of Commerciality now being considered by Indian authorities. Post year-end, an independent tribunal ruled in favour of Hardy and India's GAIL, in a dispute over the joint venture's relinquishment of a licence covering the 130bn cubic feet Ganesha-1 gas discovery that was previously enforced by India's Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas (MOPNG).

The upshot is that the MOPNG has been ordered (subject to appeal) to restore the licence and pay interest-linked compensation to the partners, of which around $24.8m (£16.5m) is net to Hardy. The remittance is important - Hardy's current cash pile should be sufficient to progress work at D3, but the group is likely to require additional funds to recommence production at its PY-3 licence, assuming government approval of a redevelopment plan.

Assuming PY3 recommencement by mid-2014 and $33m capital expenditure, Arden Partners gives a core net asset value of 73p a share.

HARDY OIL & GAS (HDY)
ORD PRICE:119pMARKET VALUE:£87m
TOUCH:117-120p12-MONTH HIGH:167pLOW: 84p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:159¢*NET CASH:$29m

Year to 31 DecTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (p)
200817.312.412.0nil
20097.70-7.25-10.0nil
201013.20.09-1.00nil
201111.3-4.60-3.00nil
2012nil-12.7-15.0nil
% change----

£1 = $1.50

*Includes intangible assets of $82.3m, or 112¢ a share