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Phoenix ready for hefty dividend hike

RESULTS: Phoenix has restructured its debt, which means that dividend payments are set to rise, while the shares - trading well below embedded value - look too cheap
March 22, 2013

Closed-life assurance run-off specialist Phoenix Group (PHNX) has been busy raising funds and reducing debt to get round the covenants that have restricted dividend growth up until now. Indeed, a recent refinancing package has achieved just that - it can now pay out £125m in dividends this year, which broker Investec Securities reckons will be worth 55.8p a share, meaning a tasty 8.6 per cent yield.

IC TIP: Buy at 647p

The group was formed after Liberty Acquisition Holdings bought closed-life specialist Pearl, which had previously bought the business assets of Resolution. But the combined group was saddled with a hefty debt pile and steps to reduce this included a £250m equity raising, which was used to help repay £450m of debt in February. Moreover, bullet repayments that were due in 2014, 2015 and 2016 have been replaced by a single tranche, due in 2019. A further £252m of capital was released following an agreement to transfer £5bn of annuity in-payment liabilities to Guardian Assurance.

At the operating level, cash generated fell from £810m to £690m - although this is still towards the top end of the £600m-£700m target range and, for the coming year, the target has been raised to £650m-£750m.

Investec expects IFRS operating profit of £437.6m for 2013, giving EPS of 195.4p (226p in 2012) and embedded value of 1,026p a share.

PHOENIX (PHNX)
ORD PRICE:647pMARKET VALUE:£1.45bn
TOUCH:646-648p12-MONTH HIGH:669pLOW: 395p
DIVIDEND YIELD:7.4%PE RATIO:3
NET ASSET VALUE:738pEMBEDDED VALUE:945p

Year to 31 DecGross premiums (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2009*0.5511.0103nil
20101.5391.020.142.0
20111.47-4.00-76.242.0
20121.6132322647.7
% change+10--+14

Ex-div: 3 Apr

Payment: 3 May

*Pro-forma basis