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Quindell fails to convince

RESULTS: Shares in rapidly growing outsourcer to the insurance industry Quindell slide 6 per cent as results fail to calm investors' nerves
May 7, 2013

Shares in Quindell Portfolio (QPP) slipped back as the rapidly growing outsourcer to the insurance industry reported results that beat analysts' expectations but failed to convince the wider market. We remain cautious as the concerns we outlined previously in 'The curious case of Quindell' linger over the integration of so many acquisitions, the dilution of shares, and a tough cash profile in the year ahead.

IC TIP: Sell at 12.5p

The results tracked this rapid growth, with cash profits surging from £6.7m in 2011 to £52.2m, and adjusted profit before tax up from £6.3m, to £49.2m, giving EPS of 1.4p, once exceptional costs of £5.3m related to acquisitions and financing are removed. The group generated adjusted operating cash of £38.8m during the year, leaving cash balances of £47.2m and a net cash position at the year-end. But this growth has been funded by some £90.9m raised from investors, so now that money has been spent the current year will give investors a better idea of potential returns.

Quindell was formed through a series of acquisitions in 2012 to provide cost savings of up to 20 per cent to a motor insurance industry suffering from falling margins as accident-related personal injury claims rocketed. Combining the claims handling and car-hire operations of Ai Claims, the legal services of Silverbeck Rymer and Pinto Potts, the medical services of Mobile Doctors, and a number of smaller technology deals, the group positioned itself for the 1 April ban on referral fees, or 'ambulance chasing', in the legal world.

Quindell has subsequently spent 2013 winning business, already announcing a number of major contracts. The business strategy hasn't paused for breath, either, with expansion overseas through the acquisition of Canadian insurance broking portal Iter8, and expansion in the property claims market through increasing its stake in 360GlobalNet from 19 to 60 per cent. House broker Cenkos is forecasting an increase in revenue to £443m, by the end of 2013, giving adjusted pre-tax profits of £127.3m and EPS of 2.5p.

QUINDELL PORTFOLIO (QPP)

ORD PRICE:12.5pMARKET VALUE:£453m
TOUCH:12.5-12.75p12-MONTH HIGH:18.25pLOW: 5p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:11
NET ASSET VALUE:7p*NET CASH:£16.6m

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2008----
2009----
20100.15-0.99-0.09na
2011**13.74.070.47na
201213841.21.17na
% change+904+915+148-

*Includes goodwill and intangible assets of £143m, or 4p a share

**15-month period to 31 December 2011