Join our community of smart investors

Green Dragon's reserve boost

RESULTS: Green Dragon Gas has accelerated its drilling programme, but annual production is some way adrift of the 2014 year-end target of 18 trillion cubic feet.
June 11, 2013

Green Dragon Gas (GDG) delivered on the production front through 2012, which is vital given its ambition to become a 'pure' upstream producer in China, but the headline figures failed to impress as mid/downstream sales of its coal-bed methane products remained broadly flat at 15.1bn cubic feet (bcf).

IC TIP: Buy at 200p

The good news is that GDG exited 2012 with an annualised production rate of 2.6 bcf - a 55 per cent increase year on year. The rate has subsequently risen to around 3 bcf, although output will need to accelerate if the group is to achieve its 2014 year-end target of 18 bcf. A total of 90 new wells were drilled during 2012, against 67 in the previous year. The increased drilling programme, which included 31 high-return LiFaBriC wells completed by sister company Greka Drilling (GDL), helped to drive proven (1P) reserves by nearly a quarter to 59 bcf.

Since the year-end GDG has repaid existing convertible note obligations through a $35m (£22.50m) bond issue, together with the sale of interests in two non-core distribution businesses - Beijing Huayou and Giant Power - for $65m.

Peel Hunt has lowered its risked valuation per share from 515p to 444p, including a core element of 251p a share.

GREEN DRAGON GAS (GDG)
ORD PRICE:200pMARKET VALUE:£273m
TOUCH:196-205p12-MONTH HIGH:415pLOW: 187p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:458¢NET DEBT:8%

Year to 31 DecTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
200824.6-23.2-22.5nil
200946.9-28.8-27.6nil
201049.7-10.4-7.9nil
201175.2-25.2-20.5nil*
201274.1-18.5-15.1nil
% change-2---

£1 = $1.55 *Excludes dividend paid in specie, comprising three shares in Greka Drilling Ltd per ordinary share