Join our community of smart investors

Shire spring cleans

TIP UPDATE: Shire looks in leaner shape after a spring clean, with upgrades to forecasts helping sentiment
July 25, 2013

Shire Pharmaceuticals (SHP) produced results that contained both an upgrade to forecasts and, at the same time, the effects of a reorganisation of the business under its new chief executive. The net result of that effort is that growth in product sales of 7 per cent in the second quarter helped push forecasts for earnings growth this year back into double digits, compared with the high single-digit growth the market had previously pencilled in.

IC TIP: Buy at 2289p

While the overall picture looks relatively positive at the moment, it was obvious that management decided to get the pain of restructuring out of the way early in order to get the business up to scratch. For example, reported profits were hit by $199m (£129m) of impairment charges relating to Shire's chronically unsuccessful regenerative medicine business. In addition, a further $43.9m of one-off costs were booked to pay for a well-flagged reorganisation of its business divisions.

Meanwhile, the 14 per cent increase in sales of attention deficit disorder drug Vyvanse to $598m suggests that Shire has managed to successfully switch enough patients away from the patent expiry threatened Adderall XR to defend its market share. Chief executive Flemming Ørnskov said Shire now had nine products in Phase III development, with Lifitegrast for dry-eye disease the closest to regulatory filing.

Broker Morgan Stanley said the new guidance implies earnings growth this year of between 12 and 14 per cent, giving EPS of 223¢ for 2013, up from 203¢ in 2012.

SHIRE PHARMACEUTICALS (SHP)

ORD PRICE:2,288pMARKET VALUE:£12.7bn
TOUCH:2,284-2,288p12-MONTH HIGH:2,318pLOW: 1,682p
DIVIDEND YIELD:0.5%PE RATIO:33
NET ASSET VALUE:692¢*NET CASH:$202m

Half-year to 30 JunTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20122.3857985.82.73
20132.4345258.63.00
% change+2-22-32+10

Ex-div: 4 Sep

Payment: 3 Oct

*Includes intangible assets of $3.61bn, or 652¢ a share £1=$1.53