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Premium rates slip at Lancashire

RESULTS: Bermuda-based insurer Lancashire remains an impressively profitable underwriter and it's paying a fat special dividend - but premium rates are under pressure
July 29, 2013

Bermuda-based insurer Lancashire (LRE) suffered an extra $37.7m (£24.5m) hit from its exposure to last year's Costa Concordia cruise ship disaster - it's total estimated loss from that now stands at $96.9m. But such recent catastrophes as tornadoes in Oklahoma or floods in Canada don't appear to have hurt Lancashire much - even though the half-year combined ratio (of claims to premiums) deteriorated by 6.2 percentage points, it still reached a highly profitable 66.9 per cent.

IC TIP: Hold at 812p

Premium rates, however, are slipping. Overall, Lancashire's rates fell 2 per cent compared with the same period last year, with rates down 10 per cent in the aviation book and by 3 per cent on the Gulf of Mexico energy account. In fact, only Lancashire's marine account recorded any upward movement - rates there rose 5 per cent. What's more, the group's investment book - which is almost entirely focused on cash and bonds - delivered a 0.6 per cent negative return in the second quarter. That reflects mark-to-market losses from yield increases on the group's book of US and emerging markets debt.

Broker Numis Securities expects full-year pre-tax profit of $232m, giving EPS of 122¢ (from $236.8m and 128¢ in 2012) and net tangible assets of 495.8p.

LANCASHIRE (LRE)

ORD PRICE:812pMARKET VALUE:£1.34bn
TOUCH:812-814p12-MONTH HIGH:867pLOW: 670p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.2%*PE RATIO:8
NET ASSET VALUE:768¢COMBINED RATIO:66.9%

Half-year to 30 JunGross premiums ($m)Pretax profit ($m)Investment return ($m)Dividend per share (¢)
201251510717.15.00
201342413712.65.00*
% change-18+28-26-

Ex-div: 21 Aug

Payment: 25 Sep

*Excludes 105¢ special dividend

£1=$1.54