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Centaur Media quietly optimistic

RESULT: Centaur Media has had to battle with plummeting print revenues, but a shift to digital and events, together with better UK economic conditions, has led to a rosier picture
September 12, 2013

The writing has been on the wall for business publisher and events specialist Centaur (CAU) for some time; the future is not in print advertising. To its credit, the publisher of titles such as Marketing Week and The Lawyer, has worked hard to reposition itself towards the higher-growth markets of digital, paid-for content and events. Two years ago, print revenues accounted for 43 per cent of the total; now that is only 28 per cent. "The key theme is that the revenue mix is shifting rapidly," says interim chief executive Mark Kerswell.

IC TIP: Buy at 45p

Statutory results were hit by a £39.2m write-down on goodwill that had been sitting on the balance sheet for some time, but strip that out and adjusted EPS rose 7 per cent to 4.5p. And Mr Kerswell says that the start of the new trading period (the company is changing its year-end to December) is encouraging as an improving UK economy lends a hand, even to the gloomy print advertising segment, noting "we have a bit more wind in our sails".

There was no news yet on the outcome of the search for a new chief executive, with the company merely saying that the process is continuing with an announcement to come in due course.

Broker Numis Securities expects EPS of 5.4p (on a June year-end basis), up from 4.5p in 2013.

CENTAUR MEDIA (CAU)

ORD PRICE:45pMARKET VALUE:£64.3m
TOUCH:44.75p-45p12-MONTH HIGH:60pLOW: 31p
DIVIDEND YIELD:5.3%PE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:57p*NET DEBT:24%

Year to 30 JunTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200966.31.70.61.50
201059.92.61.41.70
201168.3-30.3-21.22.00
201265.62.70.92.25
201372.0-37.4-27.32.40
% change+10--+7

Ex-div: 6 Nov

Payment: 6 Dec

*Includes intangible assets of £122.7m, or 86p a share