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Sugar's turning sour for ABF

RESULTS: ABF's sugar division is in for some tough times ahead, but growth in its retail, ingredients and grocery divisions should help offset these challenges.
November 5, 2013

Business is booming at Primark, the retail arm of Associated British Foods (ABF). Last year, underlying operating profit at the cut-price retailer soared 44 per cent to £514m on sales of £4.3bn - a 22 per cent increase on 2012, which led to a 13 per cent rise in ABF's full-year underlying pre-tax profit to £1.1bn.

IC TIP: Sell at 2200p

Primark, which generated 44 per cent of group operating profit last year, is also set for a busy schedule of international store openings this year as expansion picks up. Agriculture was another star division. Profit here grew 18 per cent to £47m, as demand for animal feed increased. But sugar, which accounted for 37 per cent of group profit, had a difficult year. Lower yields in Europe, higher beet costs in the UK, and difficulties in China resulted in flat sales and a 15 per cent profit slide. Management expects further declines too, ahead of the abolition of European Union sugar quotas in 2017.

There was, though, a marked improvement in the grocery business, where profit jumped 24 per cent, thanks partly to lower restructuring charges, but also strong trading at Twinings Ovaltine and Allied Bakeries, the home of Kingsmill bread. Meanwhile, the steep profit fall in the ingredients category reflected exceptional costs, rather than a deterioration in underlying trading. Strip these items out and profits here would been flat at £27m on sales of £1.1bn.

Numis Securities expects flat adjusted pre-tax profit of £1.09bn in 2014, giving EPS of 98p.

ASSOCIATED BRITISH FOODS (ABF)
ORD PRICE:2,200pMARKET VALUE:£17.4bn
TOUCH:2,199-2,201p12-MONTH HIGH:2,269pLOW: 1,349p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.5%PE RATIO:29
NET ASSET VALUE:775p*NET DEBT:12%

Year to 14 SepTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20099.349545.521.0
201010.276369.323.8
201111.175768.724.8
201212.376170.328.5
201313.387674.832.0
% change+8+15+6+12

Ex-div: 6 Dec

Payment: 10 Jan

*Includes intangible assets of £1.6bn, or 200p a share