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Korean debts knock Standard

RESULTS: Standard Chartered's profits slipped for the first time in about a decade, significantly reflecting problems in Korea - but longer-term prospects remain robust
March 5, 2014

Investors have grown accustomed to robust earnings growth at Standard Chartered (STAN), which focuses on Asian emerging markets. Not this time, however: tougher local market conditions and higher impairments combined to depress Standard's profits for the first time in over a decade. Moreover, management expects just modest growth for 2014, with the first half set to remain tough.

IC TIP: Buy at 1320p

Korea is especially problematic. Loan impairments in the country soared 67 per cent to $371m (£186m), largely driven by increased use of a government-sponsored debt forgiveness programme for struggling consumers. Standard wrote down the goodwill value of its Korean operation by $1bn, which was a big driver behind the slippage in the group’s reported profit. The business also made a $162m loss last year.

But with the group impairment charge up 35 per cent to $1.62bn, not all of Standard’s problems stem from Korea. Consumer loan impairments also rose 46 per cent in Hong Kong, 41 per cent in India and 67 per cent in the other Asia Pacific unit. Unlike in Korea, however, such operations remain solidly profitable; Hong Kong, for instance, grew operating profit by 15 per cent. The wholesale operation, meanwhile, saw income fall 2 per cent, reflecting market uncertainty on the back of such issues as the tapering of quantitative easing in the US and negative sentiment towards emerging markets.

Recent rumours about a capital raising were firmly squashed. "We’re well capitalised now and by any measure," emphasised chief executive Peter Sands, alluding to Standard’s 10.9 per cent Basel III core-tier-one capital ratio. "That’s significantly and materially ahead of [the regulator’s] guidance". Costs, too, looks under control. Adjust for a 53 per cent hike in the UK bank levy to $266m and underlying costs rose just 1.4 per cent.

Earnings modestly missed analysts’ estimates and, ahead of possible tweaking, Investec Securities was expecting EPS of 239¢ this year and net tangible assets (NTA) of 1,764¢ at the year-end.

STANDARD CHARTERED (STAN)

ORD PRICE:1,320.0pMARKET VALUE:£32bn
TOUCH:1,317-1,320p12-MONTH HIGH:1,861pLOW: 1,223p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.9%PE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:1,905¢ 

Year to 31 DecPre-tax profit ($bn)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20095.1516263.6
20106.1219669.2
20116.7820176.0
20126.8520084.0
20136.0616486.0
% change-12-18+2

Ex-div: 12 Mar

Payment: 14 May

£1=$1.67