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Weak results could see capex and dividend cut at Millennium

The hotelier's half-year figures disappointed investors and management alike following a slowdown in demand in New York and Singapore
August 3, 2016

Chairman of hotel group Millennium & Copthorne (MLC) Kwek Leng Beng told the market he was "disappointed" by the group's first-half performance, particularly in New York and Singapore. First-half revenue per available room fell 4.2 per cent at constant currency during the first half, on the same period last year, while hotel revenue contracted 4.3 per cent on the same basis. That was mainly due to lower occupancy and room rates, although higher land sales in New Zealand helped push total revenue in the right direction.

IC TIP: Hold at 415p

In his statement, Mr Beng admitted the UK's decision to leave the EU and recent bout of terrorist incidents are unlikely to make things easier in the near term. While the board has announced a half-year dividend of 2.08p a share, a full-year return is under review and it also expects to reassess capital expenditure plans. That could have implications for future projects which are already in the works, including new hotel and serviced apartment developments in South Korea and California. Ongoing hotel refurbishment programmes at the Millennium Hotel London Mayfair and Knightsbridge sites could also be affected.

Analysts at Credit Suisse expect pre-tax profit of £135m for the year ending December 2016, giving EPS of 22.2p, compared with £109m and 33p in 2015.

MILLENNIUM & COPTHORNE (MLC)

ORD PRICE:415pMARKET VALUE:£1.35bn
TOUCH:414-416p12-MONTH HIGH:576pLOW: 360p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.5%PE RATIO:23
NET ASSET VALUE:774pNET DEBT:23%

Half-year to 30 JunTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201540462.011.22.08
201641856.09.32.08
% change+3-10-17-

Ex-div: 11 Aug

Payment: 30 Sep