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Ferrexpo costs plummet but funding doubts remain

All things considered, Ukrainian iron ore miner put in an exceptional performance in the first half of 2016. But current liabilities raise questions
August 5, 2016

The mining of iron ore has not been an easy business line so far in 2016, but Ukrainian miner Ferrexpo (FXPO) has put in a solid performance in the six months to June, thanks to a record sales volumes and an exceptionally low cost profile. In fact, local currency devaluation, lower oil prices and operational efficiencies brought reported cash costs down by 23 per cent to $25.7 (£19.3) per tonne, putting Ferrexpo among the most competitive producers of iron ore pellets in the world.

IC TIP: Sell at 55p

Record first-half sales also helped, with operating cash flows of $142m already 11 per cent up on the whole of 2015. Nonetheless, this improvement in operational fortunes has not been sufficient to remove a key obstacle: the company's ability to pay the $159m of debt that matures this financial year. Given operating profit before adjustments in the year to June was a mere $133m, and with the cash position hamstrung by the collapse of the company's transactional bank last year, management will be relying on a further uptick in prices and volumes.

Broker JPMorgan has upgraded its EPS forecasts to 27.9¢ for the year to December, against 24¢ in 2015.

FERREXPO (FXPO)

ORD PRICE:55pMARKET VALUE:£321m
TOUCH:54-55p12-MONTH HIGH:71pLOW: 13p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:50¢NET DEBT:$753m

Half-year to 30 JunTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
201551214319.63.3
201645892.013.2nil
% change-11-36-33-100

£1=$1.33