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Mothercare turnaround disrupts short-term progress

The mother-and-baby chain is still struggling to turn things around, although bosses hope the second half will be better
November 28, 2016

Mothercare (MTC) shares are down close to 50 per cent over the past 12 months, and the latest set of interim figures did little to help. Changes to the group's British warehouse systems and unseasonal weather patterns meant sales and margins in UK stalled. Despite more aggressive discounting, like-for-like sales dipped into negative territory, while gross margins fell 59 basis points. This led to an overall underlying loss in the UK of £8.8m - a 44 per cent decline year-on-year. Internationally, retail sales rose 7.1 per cent at actual currencies, although volatile markets across Europe, Russia, the Middle East and Asia meant like-for-like sales fell 2.9 per cent.

IC TIP: Hold at 106p

Chief executive Mark Newton-Jones urged investors to remember the group is only in the second year of its turnaround, and significant changes to the business are expected to disrupt trading in the short term. On a more positive note, the group's website has been successfully re-platformed, and around 40 per cent of total UK sales are now derived online. The Mothercare app has also been downloaded 1 million times.

Peel Hunt has downgraded forecasts for the current financial year ending March 2017; analysts there now expect pre-tax profits of £20.8m and EPS of 9.2p, compared to £19.6m and 8.3p in FY2016.

MOTHERCARE (MTC)
ORD PRICE:106pMARKET VALUE:£181m
TOUCH:105-108p12-MONTH HIGH:253pLOW: 101p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:88
NET ASSET VALUE:36p*NET DEBT:25%

Half-year to 8 OctTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20153505.82.8nil
2016348-0.80.2nil
% change-1-114-93-

Ex-div: na

Payment: na

*Includes intangible assets of £54.8m, or 32p a share