With the FTSE 100 having recently hit a record high, the question arises: should we spend some of our profits? Certainly, history suggests there is a link between stock market movements and consumer spending. There has been a positive correlation between real annual total returns on the All-Share index and changes in real consumer spending in the following 12 months, of 0.24 since 1987. On average, 10 percentage point above-average equity returns lead to consumer spending growth being 0.3 percentage points above average.
To continue reading, subscribe today
and enjoy unlimited access to the following:
- Tips of the Week
- Funds coverage
- Weekly features on big investment themes
- Trading ideas
- Comprehensive companies coverage
- Economic analysis
Economic Indicators
Debating independence
The consensus that central banks should be independent from political interference is coming into question, for bad reasons and good
Chris Dillow