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Hikma raises dividend as profit from generics soars

Group revenue is expected to grow in the range of 4-6 per cent in 2024
February 22, 2024
  • Strong rise in core profits
  • Sizeable dividend hike

Hikma Pharmaceuticals (HIK) capped a strengthening full-year sales performance with a sizeable increase in the annual dividend. Constant currency operating profits were 34 per cent up on the prior year to $367mn (£290mn), driven by the group’s branded and generics businesses. The latter unit, which supplies generic and speciality products to the US retail market, recorded a noteworthy 86 per cent uplift in core operating profit.

Once adjustments are factored in, core Ebitda increased by 17 per cent to $811mn on a margin of 28.2 per cent, against 27.6 per cent last time around. Management expects profits to be slightly lower this year, but the full-year release was well-received by the market judging by the share price movement on results day.

Selling, general and administrative expenses came in at $767mn, up a quarter on the prior year, but including a provision of $129mn linked to the resolution of outstanding opioid-related cases in North America. Research and development costs as a proportion of revenues were broadly unchanged, while operating cash flow increased by 15 per cent to $608mn. Despite continued investments in new product lines, net debt represents a manageable 1.2 times core cash profits.

Group revenue is expected to grow in the range of 4-6 per cent in 2024, while core operating profit is forecast to be between $660-$700mn with an underlying margin in the mid-teens percentage range. A share price representing a 7 per cent discount to the consensus target price at 12.5 times forecast earnings doesn’t appear overly stretched compared with industry peers, particularly given that the post-Covid structural drivers linked to the generics market remain in place. But with no immediate share price catalysts in view, we revert to a neutral position. Hold.

Last IC view: Buy, 2,068p, 4 Aug 2023

HIKMA PHARMACEUTICALS (HIK)    
ORD PRICE:2,081pMARKET VALUE:£4.60bn
TOUCH:2,081-2,084p12-MONTH HIGH:2,222pLOW: 1,615pp
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.7%PE RATIO:31
NET ASSET VALUE:999¢*NET DEBT:45%
Year to 31 DecTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($mn)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20192.2149120144.0
20202.3455818350.0
20212.5554418254.0
20222.5223384.056.0
20232.8828186.072.0
% change+14+21+2+29
Ex-div:21 Mar   
Payment:03 May   
£1=$1.27 *Includes intangible assets of $1.1bn, or 498ȼ a share