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Man rebounds but inflows remain volatile

The hedge fund provider swung back to a pre-tax profit last year
March 6, 2018

Man Group (EMG) reached an inflection point in 2017, growing turnover for the first time in six years. The hedge fund provider gained record net inflows of $12.8bn (£9.2bn), up from just $1.9bn in the previous year. Together with market returns, that took funds under management up more than a third to $109bn.

IC TIP: Hold at 164.8p

While management fees were up 7 per cent, performance fees more than trebled. However, an increase in inflows to lower-margin strategies, plus a rise in institutional fund of funds business, meant the revenue fee margin declined by 11 basis points to 0.76 per cent. Alternatives gained the lion’s share of new business at $11.7bn. That was primarily into total return strategies, which include emerging market debt and real estate.

Its long-only products put in a more mixed performance. Its systematic strategies – previously quant long-only – suffered net outflows of $0.6bn. That was primarily due to clients banking equity gains during the fourth quarter, after a strong year. However, discretionary long-only recorded $1.8bn in net inflows, predominately into its Japan core Alpha, emerging market fixed income and continental European equity strategies.  

Analysts at Numis expect adjusted pre-tax profits of $375m during the 12 months to 31 December 2018, giving EPS of 19.6¢ (from $384m and 20.3¢ in 2017).  

MAN GROUP (EMG)   
ORD PRICE:164.8pMARKET VALUE:£2.69bn
TOUCH:164.7-164.85p12-MONTH HIGH:219pLOW: 132p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.7%PE RATIO:11
NET ASSET VALUE:105¢*NET CASH:$206m
Year to 31 DecTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)*
20131.16563.022.0
20141.1538420.87.9
20151.1418410.110.2
20160.83-272-15.89.0
20171.0727215.510.8
% change+29--+20
Ex-div:26 Apr   
Payment:18 May   
*Includes intangible assets of $1.04bn, or 64¢ a share