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FTSE 350: Brexit puts chemicals on the line

Uncertainty over the future regulation of chemicals poses a threat to some UK-listed groups
January 24, 2019

The European Union’s Registration, Evaluation and Authorisation of Chemicals (REACH) framework, which requires companies to register chemicals with the European Chemicals Agency, will not apply in the UK beyond Brexit, as things stand. So, if December’s guidance over (and increasingly likely) no-deal outcome from the Department of Environment, Food and Affairs (Defra) was any indication, this could be a tumultuous year for the likes of Victrex (VCT).

Defra assures us that fresh legislation would "preserve REACH as far as possible, while making technical changes that would need to be made because the UK has left the EU". But without a deal, companies registered within REACH will need to transfer registrations to an organisation based in the European Economic Area, while UK downstream users currently importing chemicals from an EEA nation would face new registration requirements.

Given that it is the sole manufacturer of high-end thermoplastic 'PEEK' in the EU, Victrex is hoping to "exploit longer-term tariff mitigation strategies" there. But the company is burning cash as it stockpiles materials as a Brexit contingency, which makes last year's special dividend and growing operating profits less likely to be matched in 2019. 

Not all chemical companies have suffered at the altar of European politics. Johnson Matthey (JMAT) was less affected by changes in Brussels in 2018. Undeterred by new and rather disruptive European emissions standards, a slowing car market and the more long-term prospect of bans on petrol cars, its Clean Air Division, which supplies catalytic converters, continues to do well. Johnson will begin manufacturing battery material in 2021-22, which can be used in hybrids and fully electric vehicles.

 

NamePrice (p)Market cap (£m)12-month change (%)Trailing PEForward PEDividend Yield (%)Last IC View
Croda International4,8096,330.718.4825.223.31.75Hold, 4,782p, 25 Jul 2018
Elementis185.21,074.89-30.311311.83.26Buy, 280p, 31 Jul 2018
Johnson Matthey2,9795,765.36-7.5413.212.42.74Hold, 3,040p, 21 Nov 2018
Sirius Minerals22.121,061.11-3.57n/an/an/aBuy, 29.90p, 27 Sep 2018
Synthomer375.21,275.23-23.4311.710.73.33Buy, 535p, 07 Aug 2018
Victrex2,3762,047.48-7.5518.617.42.51Hold, 2,402p, 05 Dec 2018