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Policy changes disrupt Georgia Healthcare

But a decrease in revenue in some business areas was more than offset by recent acquisitions
August 16, 2017

Changes to Georgia’s universal healthcare policy caused trouble for two of Georgia Healthcare Group’s (GHG) subsidiaries in the first half. The government has increased the proportion of hospital bills that middle-income citizens have to pay out of pocket, which sent community hospital revenue down by a tenth. Those changes to eligibility criteria caused disruption in the medical insurance business which, once again, reported a pre-tax loss. The upshot is a GEL5m-GEL6m (£1.6m-£1.9m) drag on revenue in the 2017 financial year, which has caused broker Numis to soften its guidance for the 2017 financial year. EPS is now expected at 35 tetri, from pre-tax profit of GEL60.1m, up from 24 tetri last year.

IC TIP: Hold at 350p

But operational expansion has been impressive in the last six months. The group has successfully rebranded its outpatient clinics as Polyclinics – which offer a range of medical help – and has seen patient growth accelerate by 39 per cent in the last two months. Meanwhile, two hospital modernisation programmes helped send healthcare services revenue up by 12 per cent to GEL133m.

Similar top-line growth is expected in the second half, now that GHG has finished transferring patient records from its two new pharma businesses. The acquisition of Pharmadepot and GPC pharmacy chains means GHG now has 247 pharmacies in Georgia which brought in revenue of GEL222m.

GEORGIA HEALTHCARE (GHG)  
ORD PRICE:350pMARKET VALUE:£461m
TOUCH:335-355p12-MONTH HIGH:404pLOW: 255p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:50
NET ASSET VALUE:358 tetriNET DEBT:52%
Half-year to 30 JunTurnover (GLm)Pre-tax profit (GLm)Earnings per share (tetri)Dividend per share (p)
201617316.80.29nil
201737024.30.12nil
% change+114+45-59-
Ex-div:na   
Payment:na   
£1=3.11 Georgian Lari   *100 tetri in 1 Georgia Lari