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Oxford Biodynamics could triple its revenue

The biotechnology group continues to sign new partners, which could help revenues to keep climbing
December 11, 2018

Oxford Biodynamics' (OBD) shares have moved sideways since mid-2018, trading roughly a quarter short of the 279p peak seen in October 2017. The stock didn’t react strongly to these final numbers either, even though demand for the group’s proprietary biotechnology platform, EpiSwitch, kept annual revenues flat, while a recent £9.8m investment from GL Capital has bolstered the cash coffers to £18m (FY2017: £10.8m).

IC TIP: Buy at 203p

Instead of focusing heavily on its financials, perhaps investors should concentrate on the slew of research partnerships won, including – post period-end – a fifth immuno-oncology collaboration with a new US biopharmaceutical partner. At last count, OBD had six revenue-generating research and development projects under way, spanning various fields such as immuno-oncology, fibrosis and thyroid cancer. There’s also been “significant progress” in applying the EpiSwitch technology to areas of human and equine fitness, specifically to sports-related concussions.

According to Shore Capital, this means revenues could nearly triple by the end of FY2019. However, the broker is taking a more “prudent” approach to the timing and structure of future deals, meaning cash – or pre-tax – profits aren’t due until 2021.

OXFORD BIODYNAMICS (OBD)  
ORD PRICE:203pMARKET VALUE:£ 188m
TOUCH:200-204p12-MONTH HIGH:226pLOW: 152p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:NA
NET ASSET VALUE:22pNET CASH:£18.3m
Year to 30 SepTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2014*0.7-0.7-1.0na
2015*0.7-1.4-1.3na
2016*1.1-2.1-2.1nil
20171.2-4.0-4.5nil
20181.2-2.4-2.2nil
% change----
Ex-div:na   
Payment:na   
*Pre-IPO figures