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Eddie Stobart outlook darkens after warning

The logistics group said that underlying operating profits for 2019 would be “significantly below the board’s expectations”
Eddie Stobart outlook darkens after warning

Eddie Stobart Logistics (ESL) has yet to report its half-year results, but it is already warning on full-year profits. Management said that underlying operating profits for 2019 were likely to be “significantly below the board’s expectations” and the annual dividend would be scrapped. This follows an update in August, when the logistics company suspended its shares after it announced that it was undergoing an accounting investigation. 

IC TIP: Sell at 71p

A combination of poor performance against an “ambitious budget”, delays in achieving operational efficiencies, underperforming contracts, delays to a property consultancy project and lower-than-planned property utilisation have all contributed to the decline in operating profits. As a result, management has initiated a review of the business, aimed at improving Eddie Stobart’s financial performance, including improving operating margins. 

Setting up operations for new business wins, especially in road transport, is costly. This puts “substantial demands” on working capital, especially as customer payments tend to come later than the spend on setting up these operations and the strain on finances has increased the group's debt burden, with net debt said to have increased from £155m at 31 May. Eddie Stobart is in discussions with its lenders, and is also considering raising new equity. 

The shares have been suspended at 71p since 23 August after a review of the company’s practices prompted the immediate departure of former chief executive Alex Laffey. At the time, it was said that operating profit for the first half would be “significantly lower than anticipated”, and the group has since revealed that underlying operating profit will be in the range of £10m to £11m, on £450m of revenue. That is down on £18.1m of underlying operating profit generated in the first half of 2018. The shares will remain suspended until the half-year results are released.