Join our community of smart investors

Ultra Electronics charts steadier course

The aerospace and defence technologies group is getting to grips with its working capital management
March 10, 2020

A spike in North American revenues helped return Ultra Electronics (ULE) to profit growth, accompanied by an improvement in working capital management during 2019, an issue that has been a bane for the aerospace and technology group in recent years. 

IC TIP: Hold at 2,132p

A ramp up in US defence spending proved hugely beneficial to the group. North America is Ultra’s largest source of turnover by destination – at £503m, it accounted for 61 per cent of overall revenues in 2019, and climbed 14 per cent on the prior year.

Chief executive Simon Pryce said that incentive schemes at the group prior to his tenure encouraged executives to take a look at cash management only twice a year, for the purposes of reporting results to the market. At the start of 2019, management introduced an ‘average working capital turn’ metric, which compares Ultra’s working capital management against gross revenue over a 12-month period. Despite Ultra’s working capital rising £17m, the average working capital turn measure improved by 12 per cent to a multiple of 7.3 times revenue. The group benefited from a jump in contract-specific advance payments and some of Ultra’s suppliers paid earlier than expected (“not at our request, because they wanted to,” according to Mr Pryce).

Mr Pryce declined to comment on an ongoing Serious Fraud Office (SFO) investigation into the conduct of business in Algeria by Ultra, its subsidiaries, employees and associated persons.

Broker Investec forecasts full-year 2020 pre-tax profits of £110m and earnings per share of 124p, rising to £117m and 132p in 2021.

ULTRA ELECTRONICS (ULE)  
ORD PRICE:2,132pMARKET VALUE:£1.51bn
TOUCH:2,130-2,134p12-MONTH HIGH:2,346pLOW: 1,480p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.5%PE RATIO:20
NET ASSET VALUE:606p*NET DEBT:36%**
Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201572634.835.746.1
201678667.682.847.8
201777560.666.249.6
2018766.742.643.651.6
2019825.491105.154.2
% change+8+114+141+5
Ex-div:23 Apr   
Payment:18 May   
*Includes intangible assets of £459m, or 646p a share **Includes lease liabilities of £41.2m