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Watches of Switzerland beats consensus

The luxury watch retailer has trumped estimates despite severe disruption to trading
August 13, 2020

Though its wares are distinctly up-market, Watches of Switzerland (WOSG) has had to contend with the same disruption to normal trading activities experienced by less salubrious retail outfits. Some of the most dramatic effects of the global response were evident in the first quarter of FY2021, in which the group’s outlets were open for only 38 per cent of the potential trading hours.

IC TIP: Sell at 311.5p

Group revenue for the 13 weeks to 26 July contracted by more than a quarter to £151m. Sales fell off a cliff in May, though they flatlined through June and recorded a 7.4 per cent year-on-year increase in July. The outcome trumped management expectations, while the consequent surge in the share price indicates that the market was also pleasantly surprised.

Indeed, the 14 per cent increase in adjusted cash profits for the 52 weeks to 26 April was also ahead of the consensus estimate and was achieved despite an 85 per cent drop in sales for the final six weeks of its financial year. The profit margin held firm as a proportion of sales, but overheads ticked up due to increased marketing commitments and costs linked to the opening of its National Watch Service Centre.

Goldman Sachs has increased its April 2021 EPS forecast from 6.99p to 15.25p, rising to 20.47p in FY2022.

WATCHES OF SWITZERLAND (WOSG) 
ORD PRICE:311.5pMARKET VALUE:£ 746m
TOUCH:306-312p12-MONTH HIGH:397pLOW: 171p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:1558
NET ASSET VALUE:83p*NET DEBT:£435m
Year to 26 AprilTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2018**6317.200.40nil
201977420.17.60nil
20208111.490.20nil
% change+5-93-97-
Ex-div:    
Payment:    
*Includes intangible assets of £154m, or 64p a share ** Pre-IPO