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Sales still sliding at Home Retail

TIP UPDATE: Sales at Home Retail - which operates Argos and Homebase - have continued to slide amidst grim consumer conditions
April 27, 2011

Home Retail, which operates Argos and Homebase, is being hit by "economic uncertainty and a low level of consumer confidence", says chairman Oliver Stocken. Tough consumer conditions were certainly evident in these figures.

IC TIP: Sell at 218p

Argos struggled the most; like-for-like sales dropped 5.6 per cent year on year, fuelled by a slump in demand for large-ticket items such as furniture. Argos's gross margin fell 100 basis points and its operating profit slipped 18 per cent to £219m. Managing director Sara Weller is stepping down in June, purely for personal reasons - she'll be temporarily replaced by group chief executive Terry Duddy.

Like-for-like sales at Homebase also fell, declining 0.3 per cent compared with a 2.7 per cent rise a year earlier, with growth only really evident in big-ticket items. However, operating profits managed to increase 16 per cent to £47.6m, mainly due to cost savings. Still, management don't expect much improvement and forecast low-to-mid single-digit percentage falls in like-for-like sales at Argos and a flat outcome at Homebase.

UBS expects current-year pre-tax profit of £195m and EPS of 16.9p.

HOME RETAIL GROUP (HOME)

ORD PRICE:218pMARKET VALUE:£1.77bn
TOUCH:217-218p12-MONTH HIGH/LOW:300p189p
DIVIDEND YIELD:6.7%PE RATIO:10
NET ASSET VALUE:337p*NET CASH:£259m

Year to 26 FebTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20075.6129721.613.0
20085.9842634.014.7
20095.90-394-47.714.7
20106.0229323.414.7
20115.8526521.314.7
% change-3-10-9-

Ex-div: 18 May

Payment: 20 Jul

*Includes intangible assets of £1.6bn, or 203p a share

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