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Keller over the worst

Trading remains tough for Keller, but there are signs that US markets may have turned the corner.
February 27, 2012

Trading conditions remained tough last year for Keller, and profits showed a predictable decline after the world's largest ground engineering specialist issued a string of profit warnings. Yet, despite such difficulties, the order book ended the year up 40 per cent from the previous year at a record high.

IC TIP: Hold at 428p

Keller's performance was split into two distinct camps. US markets, which account for around 41 per cent of group turnover, saw revenue up 11 per cent at £471.1m, and operating profits up from £6.9m to £12m. Margins also rose, up from 1.6 per cent to 2.5 per cent, but remain a pale shadow of the long-term average of nearer 7 per cent.

In contrast, profits from Asia dipped from £11.8m to £6m and margins from 12.8 per cent to 7.8 per cent, as a result of tough trading in Singapore and contract delays in India. And the Australian operation was up against some tough comparables - its operating profits fell from £19.1m to £6.7m and margins slid from 9.9 per cent to 3.0 per cent.

Investec is forecasting 2012 normalised pre-tax profits of £30m and EPS of 32.5p (£21.9m and 24.4p in 2011).

KELLER (KLR)
ORD PRICE:428pMARKET VALUE:£275m
TOUCH:427-429p12-MONTH HIGH:680pLOW: 233p
DIVIDEND YIELD:5.3%PE RATIO:17
NET ASSET VALUE:494p*NET DEBT:31%

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20070.9610398.018.0
20081.2011311120.7
20091.0474.779.021.8
20101.0717.844.022.8
20111.1521.924.822.8
% change+7+23--

Ex-div: 2 May

Payment: 31 May

*Includes intangible assets of £101m, or 156p a share