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Scottish and Southern faces headwinds

RESULTS: Sliding customer numbers and falling energy usage have hit Scottish & Southern – although the group has delivered another decent dividend hike
May 16, 2012

With fewer customers and falling energy usage, Scottish & Southern Energy grew pre-tax profit just 2 per cent in the year to £1.34bn – after adjusting for heavy writedowns in generating assets. That modest performance, which was in line with analysts' expectations, suggests few catalysts for a significant share price upside.

IC TIP: Hold at 1318p

The retail unit's operating profit actually fell 19.7 per cent to £321.6m after the loss of 230,000 customers, as doorstep selling practices were abruptly halted following a court ruling. The purchase of Phoenix gas in Northern Ireland did go some way towards rectifying that, but customer numbers were still 100,000 down in the period, at 9.55m. A warmer winter also hurt with households gas and electricity usage down 20 per cent and 7 per cent, respectively.

The wholesale operating profit, meanwhile, rose 6.4 per cent to £607.9m, while the group's focus on renewable energy has continued with investment having risen from £814m to £852m – bringing the total capital spend to £1.7bn for the year. Moreover, renewable generation jumped 23 per cent in the year and now contributes a quarter of generating capacity.

Management confirmed the group's dividend payout target of inflation plus 2 per cent, and broker Liberum Capital forecast adjusted EPS of 129p for 2013 (112.7p in 2012).

SCOTTISH & SOUTHERN ENERGY (SSE)

ORD PRICE:1,318pMARKET VALUE:£12.5bn
TOUCH:1318-1325p12-MONTH HIGH:1,430pLOW: 1,184p
DIVIDEND YIELD:6.1%PE RATIO:62
NET ASSET VALUE:364p*NET DEBT:132%

Year to 31 MarTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200815.31.0810160.5
200925.40.0513.066.0
201021.61.6413470.0
201128.32.1116275.0
201231.70.2721.180.1
% change+12-87-87+7

Ex-div: 25 Jul

Payment: 21 Sep

Includes intangible assets of £846m, or 90p a share