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Oil makes Aveva rich

RESULTS: Demand from buoyant end markets and growth economies has helped Aveva deliver the goods and investors chased the shares 12 per cent higher on results day
May 28, 2012

A build up of momentum at AVEVA during the final quarter has clearly had an impact on confidence at the engineering software company. A thriving oil and gas industry and boom time in Brazil were the major contributors to record revenues, and management thinks this year will see a repeat performance. However, with the shares chased 12 per cent higher post results, it will need to be to justify the current valuation.

IC TIP: Hold at 1663p

Deepwater rig activity at an all-time implies strong demand for AVEVA's rig design software in a sector that already generates nearly half of all revenue, much of that in Brazil. The country accounts for about half the £38.2m of sales generated by the Americas business and expects grow of at least 20 per cent a year from here on. Rental growth in Europe, the Middle East and Africa pushed sales there up a fifth, too. So it was no surprise, then, that the core Engineering & Design division grew revenues by 11 per cent to £172m.

Chinese nuclear expansion should offer opportunities, but it's India that AVEVA is really getting excited about - expect a big push there in the coming months. There were a few disappointments though. Excluding acquisitions, revenues at the smaller data management division, which includes AVEVA NET, grew just 14 per cent and it posted a £4.4m loss. Marine will remain subdued, too.

Investec Securities expects adjusted EPS of 74.4p, up from 63.8p in 2012.

AVEVA (AVV)

ORD PRICE:1,663pMARKET VALUE:£1.13bn
TOUCH:1,662-1,663p12-MONTH HIGH:1,801pLOW: 1,290p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.3%PE RATIO:28
NET ASSET VALUE 326p*NET CASH:£179m

Year to 31 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200812845.050.86.65
200916459.262.39.36
201014849.649.416.90
201117449.850.918.25
201219657.758.921.0
% change+13+16+16+15

Ex-div: 20 Jun

Payment: 27 Jul

*Includes intangible assets of £49.4m, or 73p a share