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Anglo not out the woods

RESULTS: Anglo American may have served up a decent dividend hike, but the group made a net loss for the year and faces a challenging outlook
February 15, 2013

Although Anglo American (AAL) revealed a $1.49bn (£961m) net loss in a year marred by industrial strife and falling commodity prices, the miner's management rewarded shareholders with a tasty dividend rise. Despite that, Anglo still faces unresolved labour problems in South Africa and depressed conditions in its key markets.

IC TIP: Sell at 2068p

Faltering commodity prices knocked $3.9bn from Anglo's underlying operating profit (excluding accounting items and revaluations) which, overall, fell 44 per cent year on year to $6.2bn. A higher wage bill sliced $1bn from profits, too. Anglo's plight is highlighted by its platinum division's performance, which turned 2011's $890m profit into a $120m loss. Falling demand and a 21 per cent hike in cash costs were to blame. Anglo American Platinum (Amplats) remains in talks with African National Congress officials in a bid to head off more wildcat strikes after announcing its intention to close two mines and cut around 14,000 jobs.

A reduced contribution from Anglo's copper, metallurgical and thermal coal segments didn't help, either. While a 25 per cent fall in De Beers' underlying profit was only partially offset by Anglo's increased stake in the operation. Bottom-line earnings, meanwhile, were hit by $4.6bn in impairments - predominantly linked to the troubled Minas-Rio iron ore project in Brazil - and it's unclear whether those issues have been resolved.

Prior to these figures, JPMorgan Cazenove expected EPS of 213¢ for 2013 (226¢ in 2012).

ANGLO AMERICAN (AAL)
ORD PRICE:2,068pMARKET VALUE:£28.8bn
TOUCH:2,067-2,070p12-MONTH HIGH:2,800pLOW: 1,662p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.7%PE RATIO:NA
NET ASSET VALUE:2,707¢NET DEBT:20%

Year to 31 DecTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($bn)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
200826.38.5743444.0
200920.94.03202nil
201028.010.954365.0
201130.610.851074.0
201228.8-0.24-11985.0
% change-6--+15

Ex-div: 20 Mar

Payment: 25 Apr

£1=$1.55