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Hummingbird flutters to deceive

RESULTS: Shares in Hummingbird are well down on our buy advice - but bailing out could be premature given that gold looks set to rally once more
August 27, 2013

These full-year figures don't tell investors much about junior gold explorer Hummingbird Resources (HUM). In fact, the only really significant takeway from the results is the healthy net cash pile - that's set to be boosted by another $5m (£3.2m) royalty payment from Anglo Pacific (APF).

IC TIP: Hold at 47p

Instead, investors should focus on the price of gold. Hummingbird's share price collapsed from 122p in October to as low as 19p earlier this summer as the gold price plunged from nearly $1,800 an ounce to $1,200 an ounce. This happened despite Hummingbird completing a substantial amount of exploration and infill drilling in Liberia, releasing a positive preliminary economic assessment (PEA) study for its flagship Dugbe 1 gold project, and raising a large amount of money through non-dilutive financings.

Encouragingly, the gold price has rebounded to over $1,400 an ounce in the past two months - Hummingbird's share price has nearly doubled alongside it. Should gold keep climbing, we'd expect sentiment to continue supporting the shares of risky junior explorers. This is especially the case with Hummingbird as it's one of the few explorers listed on Aim that's fully funded until the release of a definitive feasibility study (DFS) for Dugbe 1, expected in the third-quarter of 2014.

HUMMINGBIRD RESOURCES (HUM)

ORD PRICE:47pMARKET VALUE:£27m
TOUCH:45-47p12-MONTH HIGH:122pLOW: 19p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:87¢*NET CASH:$13.7m

Year to 31 MayTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (p)
2010nil-1.29-4.60nil
2011nil-2.61-5.79nil
2012nil-4.16-7.78nil
2013nil-3.37-6.13nil
% change----

*Includes intangible assets of $47m, or 82¢ a share

£1=$1.56