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Sage showing signs of recovery

RESULTS: Software group Sage saw a return to modest organic growth, led by North America and gradually improving European demand
December 4, 2013

Shares in account software specialist Sage (SGE) climbed 7 per cent on the day these stronger than expected financial results were announced. Reported figures were impacted by £188m in exceptional charges relating to non-core disposals, but this masked decent underlying growth.

IC TIP: Hold at 374p

Organic revenue growth of 4 per cent was double the rate seen in 2012 and reflected accelerating sales in the second half of the year. North America led the way with 6 per cent growth for the year versus 2 per cent last year, while Europe grew at 2 per cent despite the challenging market conditions. Growth was broad-based and driven by a higher customer renewal rate, organic customer additions and strong momentum in SageOne. Importantly, cash generation remained strong, with operating cash flow of £417m representing 112 per cent of cash profits, up from 106 per cent last time.

This allowed the company to return £572m to shareholders during the year, including £122m from regular dividends, £199m in a special dividend, and £251m in share buy-backs.

Analysts at Citigroup edged up their forecasts for next two years following the announcement. They now expect pre-tax profits of £371m and EPS of 24.6p in the current fiscal year, up from £359m and 22.2p in the year just ended.

SAGE (SGE)

ORD PRICE:374pMARKET VALUE:£4.1bn
TOUCH:373-374p12-MONTH HIGH:381pLOW: 289p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3%PE RATIO:94
NET ASSET VALUE:79p*NET DEBT:44%

Year to 30 SepTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share** (p)Dividend per share** (p)
20091.4426715.37.82
20101.2829917.18.21
20111.3333120.410.3
20121.3433419.610.7
2013***1.381643.9711.3
% change+3-51-80+6

Ex-div: 12 Feb

Payment: 10 Mar

*Includes intangible assets of £1.63bn, or 149p a share

**Adjusted to reflect a 77-for-81 share consolidation in June 2013

***Excludes a special dividend worth 17p a share