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Auto Trader puts pedal to metal

Since joining the London market in March, shares in car sale website Auto Trader have jumped by a third.
June 22, 2015

It only joined the London market to begin its life as a public company in March, but shares in motor behemoth Auto Trader (AUTO) have already jumped by a third in value. Chairman Ed Williams - also founder of online property group Rightmove - says Auto Trader will not "need access to capital markets to fund future growth", and congratulated the staff on its 2015 performance given the "immensely time-consuming" listing process. But the company is used to change. Throughout its 38-year history it has weathered several changes of owner including an individual entrepreneur, the Guardian Media Group and until recently, a private equity firm.

IC TIP: Hold at 310p

Auto Trader makes its money through subscriptions paid by vehicle retailers to advertise on the site and access related services, supplemented by fees from home traders and private sellers posting their motors, and other companies looking to advertise their wares. Last year revenue from retailers and home traders rose 8 per cent to £215m, of which a 9 per cent hike in retailer revenues to £202m accounted for much of the improvement. Add to that a 19 per cent jump in display advertising sales to £12.1m, and this led to overall sales growth of 8 per cent, with consumer sales stagnant. Operating profits grew 35 per cent to £133m, while growing profit margins, an increasing rate of cash conversion and a £15.8m impairment charge in the last financial year meant adjusted underlying cash profits were 15 per cent higher at £157m.

Having terminated the print magazine in 2013, Auto Trader is now a fully digital business. Traditionally, most of its revenue comes from the used car market, however management is confident a growing new car market will drive future top-line growth. Auto Trader already has 13,450 automotive retailers advertising on its website – up 2.5 per cent year on year. Its online marketplace also has a record number of cars advertised, averaging 423,000 vehicles over the course of the last financial year.

Now that Auto Trader is enjoying life as a UK plc, brokerage Numis expects growth to step up. It has pencilled in adjusted pre-tax profits of £145m, giving EPS of 11.5p for the current financial year, compared with £51.2m and 4.1p in the year to March 2015.

AUTO TRADER (AUTO)
ORD PRICE:310pMARKET VALUE:£3.10bn
TOUCH:309-310p12-MONTH HIGH:335pLOW: 235p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:365
NET ASSET VALUE:*NET DEBT:£528m

Year to 29 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201220923.4nana
201321922.8nana
20142383.7-0.3nil
201525610.90.9nil
% change+8+195--

Ex-div: na

Payment: na

*Negative shareholder funds