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Coppock’s commodity cheer

Coppock delivers buys on key commodity indices
November 5, 2015

There was little cheer for equity markets on the Coppock front in October – a solitary buy signal on Greece’s Athex Composite and a handful of cancelled sells/unofficial buys are hardly temptation for all but the most ardent signal follower. And while many markets’ Coppock readings are heading towards or are already in the so-called negative phase from which they are able to produce official buy signals, there is little sign of them doing so – with a few exceptions, most continue to head downwards.

But there was respite on the commodities front, with official buy signals on three of six Goldman Sachs Commodity Indices we track: gold, precious metals and crude oil, adding to the buy signal on agricultural commodities flagged in August. To suggest this marks a definitive turning point for the commodities complex could be premature, though, given the extremely marginal shift upwards in the reading. But Coppock’s recent track record on commodities has been good, registering sells on gold and crude oil in December 2011 and July 2014 before the price of both collapsed.

October's Coppock signals

BuysSells
Greece Athex Composite IndexNone
S&P GSCI Gold Bullion Total Return Index 
S&P GSCI Precious Metals Total Return Index 
S&P GSCI Crude Oil Total Return Index 
Cancelled sellsCancelled buys
France CAC 40 IndexNone
Italy FTSE MIB Index 
South Africa JSE Top 40 
Latest Coppock readings

North AmericaJulAugSepOctLatest signalLatest signal (date)
SPX21.0116.6911.99.62SELLMar-14
DJINDUS15.9911.747.465.68SELLFeb-15
NASDAQ 10040.0635.2829.6227.2SELLSep-14
NASDAQ COMP34.3530.5925.6823.3SELLApr-14
S&P/TSX5.480.65-4.59-8.91SELLOct-14
Asia Pacific, Africa
BANGKOK S.E.T. - PRICE INDEX16.18.390.75-5.38SELLApr-15
FTSE BURSA MALAYSIA KLCI - PRICE INDEX-8.92-12.85-15.93-17.3SELLMay-14
FTSE CHINA B 35 - PRICE INDEX86.6976.5465.5957.8SELLJul-15
HANG SENG - PRICE INDEX23.1917.378.893.78SELLJul-15
KOREA SE COMPOSITE (KOSPI) - PRICE INDEX4.392.731.411.26SELLJul-15
IDX COMPOSITE - PRICE INDEX17.2219.001-0.702-7.745SELLApr-15
STRAITS TIMES INDEX L - PRICE INDEX8.662.82-4.41-8.74SELLMay-15
TAIWAN SE WEIGHED TAIEX - PRICE INDEX11.214.55-1.24-5.43SELLSep-14
TOPIX - PRICE INDEX57.6655.6249.346.31SELLAug-15
ASX 2009.26.61.5-1SELLJun-15
NZ 5017.9916.0812.8612.31SELLMar-15
JSE TOP 4013.349.827.097.83CANCEL SELL*Oct-15
SENSEX45.6335.732617.54SELLMar-15
South America
MEXICO IPC (BOLSA) - PRICE INDEX12.7310.266.84.9SELLMay-15
BRAZIL BOVESPA - TOT RETURN IND1.31-4.03-10.6-17.12SELLMay-15
MSCI EM LATIN AMERICA U$ - PRICE INDEX-42.168-49.464-57.281-62.787CANCEL BUYNov-14
Europe/UK
AEX INDEX (AEX) - PRICE INDEX37.6434.0629.327.3SELLAug-15
ATHEX COMPOSITE - PRICE INDEX-65.83-71.4-72.6-71.85BUY*Oct-15
ATX - AUSTRIAN TRADED INDEX - PRICE INDEX-3.63-2.05-1.142.01BUYFeb-14
BEL 20 - PRICE INDEX36.9333.7629.9828.01SELLAug-15
DAX 30 PERFORMANCE - PRICE INDEX33.2430.1325.925.02SELLAug-15
EURO STOXX 50 - PRICE INDEX23.22219.82416.01515.035SELLAug-15
FRANCE CAC 40 - PRICE INDEX23.1821.6419.9520.62CANCEL SELL*Oct-15
FTSE 100 - PRICE INDEX1.28-1.4-4.63-6.53SELLJun-15
FTSE 250 - PRICE INDEX17.6118.7118.7118.61CANCEL SELLFeb-15
FTSE ALL SHARE - PRICE INDEX3.921.9-0.75-2.3SELLJun-15
FTSE MIB INDEX - PRICE INDEX17.7416.1715.4116.77CANCEL SELL*Oct-15
IBEX 35 - PRICE INDEX13.238.222.54-0.1SELLSep-14
IRELAND SE GENERAL (ISEQ) - PRICE INDEX54.3458.9361.6764.15CANCEL SELLJan-15
OMX STOCKHOLM 30 (OMXS30) - PRICE INDEX35.5132.1826.6222.85SELLJun-15
OSLO EXCHANGE ALL SHARE - TOT RETURN IND10.65.651.91.42SELLSep-14
PORTUGAL PSI-20 - PRICE INDEX-34.31-33.36-30.21-24.31BUYJul-15
RUSSIAN MICEX INDEX - PRICE INDEX32.1434.834.9535.48CANCEL SELLJan-15
SWISS MARKET (SMI) - PRICE INDEX14.4712.189.237.39SELLAug-15

*New signals