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Latest Coppock readings - to February 2016

Coppock readings suggest the commodity sell off could be over
March 11, 2016

Industrial and precious metals, gold and oil all gave Coppock buy signals in January and February, and that indicator appears to be supported by the recent performance of these commodities. However, we should be aware that precious metals and oil gave the same reading back in October, only for them to be quickly reversed.

Japanese and US bonds also gave buy readings in February, a reflection of recent market growth fears which sits at odds with the possible resurgence of industrial metal and oil prices, both of which are at least partly dependent on a healthy global economy. Certainly recent Coppock indicators on equity markets have remained largely negative, with sell signals on US markets yet to reverse and new sell signals appearing on key US indices in recent months, not least Germany's Dax, France's CAC and the UK's FTSE 250, as well as more broad-based indices such as the Euro Stoxx 50.

Coppock readings - as of February 2016

North AmericaNovDecJanFebLatest signalLatest signal (date)
SPX8.246.572.09-1.45SELLMar-14
DJINDUS4.563.28-1.04-4.25SELLFeb-15
NASDAQ 1002624.1618.0313SELLSep-14
NASDAQ COMP22.3420.413.958.4SELLApr-14
S&P/TSX-11.86-15.04-18.69-21.06SELLOct-14
Asia Pacific, Africa
BANGKOK S.E.T. - PRICE INDEX-10.77-17.61-22.93-24.63SELLApr-15
FTSE BURSA MALAYSIA KLCI - PRICE INDEX-17.55-17.48-17.79-17.6BUY*Feb-16
FTSE CHINA B 35 - PRICE INDEX49.5945.6833.1118.96SELLJul-15
HANG SENG - PRICE INDEX-0.32-5.57-13.66-21.24SELLJul-15
KOREA SE COMPOSITE (KOSPI) - PRICE INDEX1.340.87-1.02-2.4SELL*Dec-15
IDX COMPOSITE - PRICE INDEX-13.976-17.993-21.34-22.887SELLApr-15
STRAITS TIMES INDEX L - PRICE INDEX-13.78-17.85-24.31-29.46SELLMay-15
TAIWAN SE WEIGHED TAIEX - PRICE INDEX-9.24-12.41-16.71-18.96SELLSep-14
TOPIX - PRICE INDEX43.1638.8629.4717.75SELLAug-15
ASX 200-3.1-5.3-9.2-13.3SELLJun-15
NZ 5012.1812.511.6411.22SELL*Jan-15
JSE TOP 407.696.673.891.88SELLNov-15
SENSEX10.423.02-4.9-12.26SELLMar-15
South America
MEXICO IPC (BOLSA) - PRICE INDEX2.991.760.22-0.32SELLMay-15
BRAZIL BOVESPA - TOT RETURN IND-20.22-23.38-29.54-31.62SELLMay-15
MSCI EM LATIN AMERICA U$ - PRICE INDEX-65.642-68.132-71.024-70.338BUY*Jan-16
Europe/UK
AEX INDEX (AEX) - PRICE INDEX25.5620.8914.17.94SELLAug-15
ATHEX COMPOSITE - PRICE INDEX-70.33-65.62-67.75-68.09CANCEL BUY*Jan-16
ATX - AUSTRIAN TRADED INDEX - PRICE INDEX7.449.855.31.81SELL*Jan-16
BEL 20 - PRICE INDEX27.7525.9220.4914.74SELLAug-15
DAX 30 PERFORMANCE - PRICE INDEX26.3323.6715.697.54SELL*Dec-15
EURO STOXX 50 - PRICE INDEX15.26412.1845.203-1.594SELL*Dec-15
FRANCE CAC 40 - PRICE INDEX21.7919.3913.598.31SELL*Dec-15
FTSE 100 - PRICE INDEX-7.35-8.92-11.9-13.53SELLJun-15
FTSE 250 - PRICE INDEX19.4119.4615.8112.64SELL*Jan-16
FTSE ALL SHARE - PRICE INDEX-2.83-4.07-7.12-8.98SELLJun-15
FTSE MIB INDEX - PRICE INDEX18.8117.6810.142.05SELL*Dec-15
IBEX 35 - PRICE INDEX-1.71-5.67-12.97-19.98SELLSep-14
IRELAND SE GENERAL (ISEQ) - PRICE INDEX67.7169.4864.7459.93SELL*Jan-16
OMX STOCKHOLM 30 (OMXS30) - PRICE INDEX20.0614.015.11-1.84SELLJun-15
OSLO EXCHANGE ALL SHARE - TOT RETURN IND1.671.28-1.35-2.98SELL*Dec-15
PORTUGAL PSI-20 - PRICE INDEX-18.03-12.72-11.49-11.97CANCEL BUY*Feb-16
RUSSIAN MICEX INDEX - PRICE INDEX38.5536.2132.8934.83CANCEL SELL*Feb-16
SWISS MARKET (SMI) - PRICE INDEX6.065.260.71-4.99SELLAug-15
Fixed Income
Barclays US Aggregate Bond0.67-0.55-0.66-0.5BUY*Feb-16
US 10y Treasury5.3713.0682.572.716CANCEL SELL*Feb-16
UK 10y Treasury9.8247.0016.0085.511SELLJun-15
Japan 10y Treasury4.9494.6555.0645.908CANCEL SELL*Jan-16
Germany 10y Treasury10.6057.7576.4875.944SELLMay-15
FT All Govt8.3385.4344.5623.508SELLJun-15
IBOXX Liquid £ Corp Long-dated10.2066.7354.1281.045SELLJun-15
FTSE British Govt index linked all mats20.7616.0213.5410.59SELLJun-15
Commodities (S&P Goldman Sachs Total Return indices)
Agriculture-35.58-33.23-31.85-31.07BUYAug-15
Industrial Metals-44.74-47.3-49.41-49.35BUY*Feb-16
Livestock-28.8-30.73-31.97-32.16SELLDec-14
Precious Metals-21.82-23.31-21.99-17.05BUY*Jan-16
Gold Bullion-19.14-20.61-19.58-14.64BUY*Jan-16
Crude Oil-102.43-102.77-104.04-103.94BUY*Feb-16

*New Coppock readings Dec 2015-Feb 2016