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Diversification is strength for Empresaria

The attractions of Empresaria's eclectic business model have been highlighted by the Brexit vote and the shares' low valuation means we see upside ahead, as the company homes in on achieving ambitious 2018 performance targets
March 30, 2017

Many recruiters have had a torrid time since the vote for Brexit due to concerns about the UK's near-term economic future and the implications it might have for the highly cyclical staffing industry. This has highlighted the attractions of diversity for these companies, and that is something offered by the eclectic approach of Empresaria (EMR). Yet, despite forecasts of strong earnings growth and clear targets for future progress, the shares trade on a lowly single-digit multiple of forecast earnings.

IC TIP: Buy at 124p
Tip style
Value
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points
  • Diversified across sectors and geographies
  • Consistent net fee income growth
  • Consistent profit growth
  • Strong performance since referendum
Bear points
  • Debt high against targets
  • Complicated group structure

Recruiter Empresaria operates primarily through its 'invest and develop' model, buying specialised staffing companies across sectors and countries and ensuring each business's management owns a healthy chunk of the operation they are running to align interests. It makes for a complicated model, but it also makes for a well-diversified one. And, importantly, it's a model that seems to work.

 

 

One-third of last year's turnover came from the UK, 31 per cent from Europe, 26 per cent from the Asia Pacific region and the remainder from the Americas. The group also has a bias towards temporary work, which tends to be less volatile through the economic cycle due to the less onerous commitments made by employers when taking on temporary workers than when hiring permanent staff.

The group owns companies with focuses ranging from IT in Japan to logistics in Germany. It added to these in the past year with Rishworth Aviation, which contracts pilots out to airlines in Sweden and the Asia Pacific region, and Consol Partners, an IT, digital and design company operating in the UK and US. The group expects the full benefits of these acquisitions to filter through this year, refilling its coffers ready for it to make more earnings-enhancing purchases in 2018.

The acquisitions are helping the group move towards hitting some of the key targets set out in its current five-year plan, which was introduced in 2014. The plan targets net fee income growth of 10 per cent, a conversion ratio (the ratio at which net fees convert into operating profit and a key measure of profitability used by the industry) of 20 per cent and a 'debt-to-debtors' ratio of 25 per cent, all by 2018.

Debt-to-debtors is an internal ratio the group uses for measuring its balance sheet strength and compares debt to what management regards as the company's main asset - trade receivables (work on which money is owed by clients). At present, the ratio, excluding £5.2m of restricted cash, is at 38 per cent. This may be causing some nerves, as it is well above both the 2018 target and its 2015 level of 23 per cent. However, the move is due to last year's acquisition spending and operating cash conversion has held up. Importantly, the contribution from the acquisition that the extra debt was taken on to fund should now contribute to getting borrowings swiftly down to target levels.

There has been no disappointment regarding net fee income growth, which came in at 20 per cent in 2016 - twice the target level and up from 5 per cent in the first year of the plan. The conversion ratio, meanwhile, rose for the fifth year running in 2016 to 16.6 per cent and towards the 2018 target. In a sign of management's confidence about prospects, the company plans to increase its headcount further this year.

EMPRESARIA (EMR)

ORD PRICE:124pMARKET VALUE:£61m
TOUCH:123-125p12-MONTHHIGH:158pHIGH: 71p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:1.2%FORWARD PE RATIO:8
NET ASSET VALUE:82p*NET DEBT:34%*

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)**Earnings per share (p)**Dividend per share (p)
20141886.18.00.70
20151877.510.41.00
20162709.211.71.15
2017**33512.614.31.30
2018**34813.115.01.45
% change+4+4+5+12

Normal market size: 2,000

Market makers: 7

Beta: 1.50

*Includes intangible assets of £56.8m, or 116p a share, net debt excludes £5.2m restricted "pilot bond" cash

**Arden Partners forecasts, adjusted pre-tax profit and EPS