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CVS aims to dominate in animal health

The veterinary health market is growing fast and CVS looks ideally placed to benefit
April 6, 2017

Not so long ago veterinary practices in the UK were all privately owned, local surgeries. In 2017, that model is unattractive. Newly qualified vets don't want to be a dogsbody in someone else's partnership or face the unsociable hours of being a self-employed vet. Corporate ownership is therefore a much more enticing proposition. CVS (CVSG) pioneered corporate consolidation in the UK when it began buying vets practices in 1999. A steady stream of acquisitions has helped it produce compound annual revenue growth of 27 per cent since it joined the stock market in 2007. With the veterinary marketplace ripe for further consolidation, we think CVS has further to grow.

IC TIP: Buy at 1166p
Tip style
Growth
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points
  • Attractive animal healthcare market
  • Overseas expansion
  • Recent acquisitions should boost growth
  • Cash-generative business
Bear points
  • Rising cost of vets practicesw
  • More dilutive share issues likely

CVS's bosses are not alone in identifying the attractions of the marketplace. In the past few years private-equity-backed firms, including Independent Vetcare and Vet Partners, have been building portfolios of veterinary practices, which has increased competition and raised the price of practices. That said, 77 per cent of the UK market remains independent and in the second half of 2016 CVS acquired 16 UK vets practices. Management has also started to look overseas for opportunities and now owns six vets practices in the Netherlands. By 2022, broker N+1 Singer expects CVS to own 18 per cent of the UK veterinary marketplace and 5 per cent of that in the Netherlands.

 

 

As well as the opportunities for growth via acquisitions, the animal healthcare market is attractive and expected to grow at roughly 5 per cent a year for the next decade. In the so-called 'companion-animal' market that's because increasing take-up of pet insurance means that owners are much happier to see money spent on their animals' well being. Meanwhile, the greater demand for meat - and the rising cost of rearing it - puts a greater value on healthy livestock. Applying these factors to CVS's possible growth indicates that the group's earnings could more than double in the next five years.

CVS has excellent exposure to all the veterinary marketplace. Its practices division - the vast majority of group revenue - does not just involve owning and running vets practices. CVS also develops and sells its own medicines and accessories and runs a pet-health scheme, which has almost 300,000 members. In this division, a 30 per cent increase in revenue to £118m in the six months to December 2016 was largely driven by the newly acquired practices, but like-for-like sales also continued to tick upward by 7 per cent. This division made £22m of adjusted cash profits, thanks to the revenue growth and improvement in gross profit margins to 80 per cent.

The remaining 9 per cent of group revenue is made up of the group's diagnostic laboratory business, its crematoria services and its online drugs dispensary, Animed Direct. All three divisions reported revenue growth in the first half of 2016-17 and modest increases in underlying cash profits. To add further bulk to CVS, management will soon launch a pet insurance service, for exclusive use in their own practices.

Financially there is also a lot to like about CVS. Conversion of accounting profits into cash is high - £9.5m of operating profit became £12m of operating cash flow in the first half of 2016-17. The balance sheet has been buttressed by a £30m share placing in December - although CVS's pace of expansion implies further diluting share issues are likely in the future. At its current debt level, CVS has £47m of headroom in its lending facility, but broker N+1 Singer forecasts that the group will generate £12m of free cash flow in the second half of the financial year, meaning it has more than £60m of firepower for acquisitions in 2017.

CVS (CVSG)

ORD PRICE:1,166pMARKET VALUE:£745m
TOUCH:1,162-1,166p12-MONTH HIGH:1,166p645p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:0.4%FORWARD PE RATIO:27
NET ASSET VALUE:135p*NET DEBT:83%

Year to 30 June Turnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201414314.318.52.5
201516718.224.03.0
201621824.931.73.5
2017†26533.241.04.0
2018†27835.643.25.0
% change+5+7+5+25

Normal market size: 2,000

Matched bargain trading

Beta:1.5

*Includes intangible assets of £137m, or 215p a share

†Broker N+1 Singer pre-tax profits and EPS forecasts