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Market Outlook: En Garde!

Mobile phones at dawn
August 1, 2018

Highlights from third quarter results from Apple announced yesterday include a rather pedestrian increase to 41.3 million phones shipped but a big increase in the average selling price to $724.  Earnings per share grew a whopping 40 per cent Y/Y and revenue increase 17 per cent over the same period.  The share price rallied after hours but failed to hit the $1 trillion mark.  Today research firms IDC, IHS Markit and others estimate that Chinese firm Huawei shipped about 54.2 million smartphones over the same quarter – 15.8 per cent of the global market. 

The UK’s Office for National Statistics released data for financial services in 2017.  Exports of financial services rose 6.4 per cent to a record £59.6 billion, accounting for 21.5 per cent of all services exports, which in turn account for 5.5 per cent of GDP.  Exports to the EU rose 7 per cent taking the financial services surplus to a record £25.9 billion.

DAX 30

A doji yesterday as the market looks for direction. 

 

SHORT TERM TRADER:  Square.

 

POSITION TAKER:  Square.

FTSE 100

Trying to break out of its torpor but bullish momentum isn’t exactly on its side. 

 

SHORT TERM TRADER:   Square.

 

POSITION TAKER:  Small short at 7799; stop well above 7800.  First target 7400, then 7100.

S&P 500

A little shooting star candle yesterday as all bullish momentum has evaporated.

 

SHORT TERM TRADER:  Tiny short at 2787; stop above 2880.  Target 2600.

 

POSITION TAKER:   Short at 2805; stop above 2900.  Target 2555.

BRITISH POUND/US DOLLAR

Momentum trying to turn bullish.  Meanwhile Therese May’s cut short her holiday to woo EU heads of state – along with many others in her cabinet.

 

SHORT TERM TRADER:  Long at 1.3140; stop below 1.3000.  Target 1.4000.

 

POSITION TAKER:  Square.

EURO/US DOLLAR

Another currency where momentum is trying to turn bullish.  Today Reuters reports that President Trump is mulling increasing the tariff from 10 per cent to 25 per cent on $200 billion of Chinese imports.

 

SHORT TERM TRADER:  Long at 1.1655; stop below 1.1600.  First target 1.1850.

 

POSITION TAKER:  Square.

GOLD

Slight disconnect between the MACD and price action, hinting that the market is reluctant to get too close to the psychological 1200 area.   

                            

SHORT TERM TRADER:  Square.

 

POSITION TAKER:  Short at 1242; stop above 1250.  Target 1140.

Nicole Elliott is a long-standing member and Fellow of the Society of Technical Analysts and has taken over the IC’s trading coverage.  She is regularly interviewed and quoted by the financial media, is a conference speaker, and author of several books on charting.