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Buy Marlowe as fire protection heats up

The group has become a big player in the fire protection and safety market thanks to a well-executed buy-and-build strategy
December 14, 2017

Support services group Marlowe (MRL) listed on the Alternative Investment Market (Aim) in its current form in April 2016 with a growth strategy based on acquiring businesses providing niche, regulated services such as fire protection, security and water treatment. So far, its approach looks to be paying off, with rapid growth in revenues and profits being achieved while the balance sheet has remained strong.

IC TIP: Buy at 348p
Tip style
Speculative
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points

Experienced management team

Net cash

Increased focus on fire safety

High forecast growth

Bear points

Wide bid-offer spread

Little track record

The group has made more than a dozen acquisitions since its creation in May 2015, sending its market capitalisation to £120m. Its operations are divided into two divisions, fire and security, which accounted for just over 70 per cent of first-half revenue, and water and air.

The acquisition strategy focuses on finding non-discretionary service companies with annuity-type recurring revenues, strong market positions and high return on capital employed, with enterprise values from £1m upward. The group has funded this activity with three £10m placings, all of which were oversubscribed and took place at around the market price for the shares. Marlowe also has £18m of additional facilities comprised of term loans and revolving credit and overdraft facilities.

The management team and board has a track record of building successful companies in the support services sector. It includes Charles Skinner, a non-executive director who is also chief executive of office services provider Restore (RST), as well as current chief executive Alex Dacre, who was formerly an acquisitions specialist at Restore and recruiter Impellam (IPEL). The track record of the team behind Marlowe is important given the group’s relatively recent listing and the resultant limited track record

In light of the Grenfell tragedy, companies and organisations are increasing their focus on compliance with fire protection and safety regulations. In his recent Budget speech, Chancellor Philip Hammond appeared to pledge financial support for local authorities unable to fund essential improvement works, instructing them to “contact us immediately” if they cannot access funding to pay for essential fire safety work.

The fire safety market in the UK is heavily fragmented and Marlowe is well placed to benefit from consolidation, having acquired nine fire protection and safety companies since float. It is also in a position to accommodate the expected uptick in demand for fire safety improvements, and has invested in increasing its capabilities in anticipation.

Network size and route density are key factors in the success of service-based businesses, and Marlowe is now one of the largest operators in the UK fire market. This should lead to dramatically improved performance as acquisitions are integrated.

MARLOWE (MRL)   
ORD PRICE:367.5pMARKET VALUE:£126m
TOUCH:365-370p12-MONTH HIGH:428pLOW: 283p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:nilFORWARD PE RATIO:23
NET ASSET VALUE:141p*NET CASH:£3.2m
Year to 31 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201746.83.310.4nil
2018**74.05.012.7nil
2019**83.07.015.8nil
% change+12+40+24-
Normal market size:750   
Matched bargain trading    
Beta:0.3   

*Includes intangible assets of £37.3m, or 108p a share

**Berenberg forecasts, adjusted PTP and EPS figures