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Kainos reaps the rewards of digital government

The IT group designs and delivers customised digital services for UK government and the private sector
January 18, 2018

The UK’s Government Transformation Strategy 2017-20 aims to use digital technology to “transform the relationship between citizen and state”. Demand for government digitisation only looks set to grow, as increasing numbers of companies and consumers operate online. Plus "going digital" can bring greater efficiencies: the Government Digital Service helped save taxpayers £339m in the 2015-16 financial year. Excellent news, then, for digital services IT group Kainos (KNOS), which generates just over half its sales from the UK government.

IC TIP: Buy at 358p
Tip style
Growth
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points

Significant growth in sales orders and backlog

Increasingly diversified revenues

Strong net cash position with no debt

Steady dividend payment

Bear points

Challenging NHS funding environment

Uncertainty around Brexit 

Beyond the public sector, Kainos also works with private organisations. Moreover, its customer base is increasingly diversified geographically. International revenues comprised 26 per cent of the group’s top line for the six months to 30 September 2017, up from 19 per cent a year earlier. While overall sales grew by just 2 per cent to £41.4m in the first half, the company reported a very encouraging 94 per cent increase in sales orders to £63.4m, with accompanying growth in the backlog of contracted revenue yet to be recognised of 43 per cent to £97.1m.

Kainos’s largest business area is digital services, which accounted for two-fifths of first-half sales. While revenue growth in the period was muted, order growth mirrored that achieved by the group as a whole, up a whopping 94 per cent to £54.9m. Within digital services, Kainos’s ‘digital transformation’ segment works with a broad range of central government departments, including the Land Registry, Home Office and the Cabinet Office, among others. 

Digital services also includes Workday implementation. Workday provides cloud-based software for human resources and financial management. As Workday’s only UK-headquartered "boutique" partner, Kainos signed 16 new Workday clients in the first half, against just five a year earlier. Most Kainos/Workday customers are commercial, but Kainos also recently signed Workday’s first ever UK public sector deals – three at the half-year stage. For Kainos, this represents a “first-mover advantage”.

Kainos’s other core business area is digital platforms, offering three separate products. Smart, a proprietary software tool, allows Workday customers to verify their Workday configurations. This platform has 103 global customers, against just 64 in the first half of 2017.

Meanwhile, Evolve EMR has had a tougher ride. Evolve digitises NHS patient records, but has struggled due to NHS funding limitations. First-half revenues (excluding third parties) fell by 38 per cent to £3.4m. Even so, Kainos highlights a significant addressable market: 98 health trusts, representing around £200m, have not yet dealt with their considerable paper challenge.

KAINOS (KNOS)   
ORD PRICE:358pMARKET VALUE:£424m
TOUCH:354-358p12-MONTH HIGH:365pLOW: 197p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:1.9%FORWARD PE RATIO:29
NET ASSET VALUE:31pNET CASH:£27.3m
Year to 31 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201560.811.88.5na
201676.614.110.56.0
201783.514.39.66.3
2018*89.314.910.26.6
2019*10118.212.46.9
% change+13+22+22+5
Normal market size:1,500   
Matched bargain trading    
Beta:0.09   
*Shore Capital forecasts, adjusted PTP figures