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Burford toasts a record year

The litigation finance group more than doubled its investment income
March 16, 2018

Burford Capital's (BUR) share price rise has been nothing short of meteoric over the past two years, so it’s unsurprising that a substantial step-up in investment income and operating profit resulted in a 30 per cent jump in the market price on results day. Both metrics more than doubled for the litigation finance group – testament to management’s ability to back the right legal cases.

IC TIP: Buy at 1422p

Cash receipts from concluded litigation rose two-thirds to a record $336m (£241m). That takes the total amount of concluded investments to $773m since the group’s inception in 2009 – equivalent to a return on invested capital of 75 per cent. Post year-end, it sold its investment in the Teinver case – relating to the expropriation of two major Argentine airlines by Argentina’s government – into the secondary market for $107m, banking an impressive 736 per cent return on its invested capital.

That allowed it to reinvest more capital, committing $698m last year, which took its investment portfolio of outstanding investments and undrawn commitments to $1.5bn, up more than three-quarters on 2016. More than half of that total relates to portfolio investments, such as financing cross-collateralised pools of client’s claims.

Analysts at N+1 Singer expect adjusted pre-tax profit of $275m during the 12 months to December 2018, giving EPS of 125¢ ($265m and 127¢ in 2017).

BURFORD CAPITAL (BUR)   
ORD PRICE:1,422pMARKET VALUE:£2.96bn
TOUCH:1,422-1,426p12-MONTH HIGH:1,430pLOW: 700p
DIVIDEND YIELD:0.6%PE RATIO:17
PREMIUM TO NAV: 270%NET CASH:$135m
Year to 31 DecNet asset value (¢)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20131722.11.35.23
201418747.322.27
2015 (restated)20867.931.58
201628611056.09.15
201738424912711
% change+34+126+127+20
Ex-div:31 May   
Payment:22 Jun