Tip Update: Buy at 384.5p
- Tip style
- INCOME
- Risk rating
- LOW
- Timescale
- LONG TERM
- Our previous tip
- We said BUY at 326p on 09 Jul 2015
- Tip performance to date
- +18%
Chesnara's (CSN) acquisition of Legal & General's (LGEN) Dutch business – since renamed Scildon – not only ensured the stock retained its income status, but also meant it will be less reliant on making acquisitions to boost cash flows and dividends going forward. Following last year's acquisition, open book life assurance now accounts for around two-thirds of new business; Scildon contributed £16.2m in cash to the group post-acquisition, but is expected to generate even more following a two-year integration programme.
The purchase helped more than double overall cash generation to £84m, representing a dividend cover ratio of 2.8 times. The closed book UK business continued to be the biggest cash generator, benefiting from the release of £9m of previously trapped surplus from two ring-fenced with-profits funds. Improved equity markets also helped lift the business’s economic value by more than a fifth to £46m.
Swedish open book business Movestic grew assets under management by 16 per cent, or £395m, thanks to strong investment returns and £170m in new business. That helped it increase its economic value by almost £25m, despite incurring £11m in losses relating to changes in future customer fee assumptions.
Analysts at Panmure Gordon expect an economic value of 496p a share at December 2018, up from 483p for 2017.
CHESNARA (CSN) | ||||
ORD PRICE: | 384.5p | MARKET VALUE: | £576m | |
TOUCH: | 384-384.5p | 12-MONTH HIGH: | 420p | LOW: 335p |
DIVIDEND YIELD: | 5.2% | PE RATIO: | 7 | |
NET ASSET VALUE: | 301p* | SOLVENCY II RATIO: | 146% |
Year to 31 Dec | Net premiums (£m) | Pre-tax profit (£m) | Earnings per share (p) | Dividend per share (p) |
2013 | 74.5 | 60.6 | 43 | 17.88 |
2014 | 76.7 | 28.8 | 22.1 | 18.40 |
2015 | 67.9 | 42.8 | 31.5 | 18.94 |
2016 | 64.6 | 40.7 | 27.8 | 19.49 |
2017 | 177 | 89.6 | 52.4 | 20.07 |
% change | +174 | +120 | +89 | +3 |
Ex-div: | 12 Apr | |||
Payment: | 23 May | |||
*Includes intangible assets of £189m, or 126p a share |
IC View
The shares are up on our long-standing buy tip (326p, 9 Jul 2015) and trade at just 0.8 times forecast economic value, an effective discount to this time last year. Cash generation remains impressive and the dividend is well covered, making the shares a solid income buy at this price. Buy.
Last IC View: Buy, 390p, 1 Sep 2017
Small Companies
A small-cap natural resources fund that warrants a re-rating
It trades 35 per cent below book value even though its two largest investments are growing
Simon Thompson