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Buy into Benchmark’s fish fuelled growth

The demand for fish farming should benefit the health, nutrition and genetics specialist
May 17, 2018

The shrimp fishing industry conjures up images of sunny mornings in the Bayou Le Batre, where long-haired fishermen haul in their wares to sell on Alabama’s boardwalks. The future is far more industrial. With demand for shrimp – and other seafood – swelling alongside the size of the global population, farming is a far more efficient and reliable source of produce. It also reduces the risk of disease disruption: in 2017, 40 per cent of global shrimp production was lost to illness.

IC TIP: Buy at 51p
Tip style
Growth
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points

Strong demand in the fish farming industry
New commercial facilities
Excellent product pipeline
Forecast acceleration in revenue and cash profits

Bear points

Risk of disruption in the market
Net debt

Enter Benchmark (BMK) – the Aim-traded producer of nutrition, breeding and health products for the global aquaculture (fish farming) industry. With seven large-scale production facilities, 1,435 customers in 70 countries and a pipeline of 70 products, it is ideally placed to benefit from the surge in fish farming. That global demand prompted a 13 per cent increase in like-for-like revenues in the 2017 financial year. Sales rose 22 per cent with acquisitions which included INVE – a nutrition business which boosted the feed division to 58 per cent of Benchmark’s top line. Meanwhile, the group’s product-development pipeline, if successful, has forecast peak sales of £707m.

Since its inception in 2000, Benchmark has been in ‘investment mode’, which means it is yet to turn a profit (the profit numbers in our table exclude amortisation which was a hefty £18.5m last year). In 2017, management ploughed nearly £40m into research and development (R&D), manufacturing facilities and breeding sites across its global facilities.

That said, as revenue accelerates, losses are narrowing. And it's worth noting the company accounts for most of its R&D (£13.1m of £15.2m last year) as a profit-sapping cost, rather than avoiding the impact on the bottom line by recording more spending as a balance-sheet asset. What's more, Benchmark has reported positive adjusted cash profit (Ebitda) since 2016 and broker Numis forecasts a compound annual growth rate of 25 per cent between 2017 and 2020, taking cash profit from £10m to £24.7m. Meanwhile, year-end net debt is forecast to peak in 2019 at £62m compared with £24m in 2017.

Progress should be helped by the recent completion of investment in a £17m commercial scale vaccine manufacturing site in Braintree, while its facility in Norway can deliver disease-free fish eggs all year round and expects to reach its peak annual capacity of 150m eggs by 2019. Long-term commercial agreements with SalMar, Manit Farm and Great Salt Lake Brine Shrimp Cooperative give greater reliability to the revenue.

Scientifically, there is also plenty of excitement. In 2017, Benchmark started field trials into a disease-resistant strain of shrimp and was selected to be part of a collaborative project researching genetic illness in salmon. It also launched a new probiotic to enhance growth in shrimp and a water purification system.

But a word of warning for prospective investors. The high incidence of disease makes fish farming a risky industry and Benchmark’s share price has been hurt before by poor market conditions in Chile and Norway. And as with all biotech companies, Benchmark is reliant on positive trial results from its product pipeline.

BENCHMARK (BMK)    
ORD PRICE:51pMARKET VALUE:£264m
TOUCH:49-52p12-MONTH HIGH:92pLOW: 36p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:nilFORWARD PE RATIO:62
NET ASSET VALUE:68p*NET DEBT:7%
Year to 30 SepTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201544-8.4nilnil
20161094.21.70nil
20171404.70.83nil
2018**1574.80.73nil
2019**1725.70.82nil
% change+10+19+12-
Normal market size:3,000   
Beta:0.64   
*Includes intangible assets of £329m, or 63p a share
**Numis forecast, adjusted PBT and EPS figures