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Renew positions itself for rail spending splurge

The group has taken charges relating to its acquisition of QTS and disposal of Forefront, but the underlying picture is improving
November 27, 2018

Renew’s (RNWH) numbers were weighed down by the disposal of Forefront – its small-diameter gas pipe business – at the full year mark. The group sold Forefront to Ferns Group for £1 in February this year, taking a loss on it as a discontinued operation and restating the prior year figures. Look at the adjusted numbers, however, and things look better, with operating profit up 9.6 per cent to £31.1m, on a margin of 5.7 per cent, from 5.2 per cent previously.

IC TIP: Buy at 365p

The other factor weighing on the statutory numbers was the acquisition of rail contractor QTS. The £80m deal pushed the group into a debt position from net cash of £3.9m at FY2017, but it strengthens its position in the UK rail sector at a crucial time. Control Period 6 – the next five-year regulatory period for the rail industry – begins in 2019 and is expected to lead to increased spending and a focus on maintenance and renewal works that Renew is well placed to provide.

House broker Numis is forecasting an adjusted pre-tax profit of £37.1m for the year to September 2019, giving earnings per share of 39.9p (from £30.3m and 35.5p in FY2018).

RENEW HOLDINGS (RNWH)  
ORD PRICE:365pMARKET VALUE:£275m
TOUCH:363-370p12-MONTH HIGH:460pLOW: 355p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.7%PE RATIO:27
NET ASSET VALUE:100p*NET DEBT:28%
Year to 30 SepTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201446513.116.85.00
201552016.121.37.00
201652619.423.58.00
2017 (restated)54419.824.59.00
201854114.713.610.00
% change-0.4-26-44+11
Ex-div:31 Jan   
Payment:8 Mar   
*Includes intangible assets of £121m, or 161p a share