In 2018, a string of acquisitions caused ADES International’s (ADES) net debt to jump almost fivefold to $424m (£321m), or – to use a standard assessment of leverage – to more than four times trailing earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda).
That’s high, and still stands at 3.3 times if you annualise second-half profits, to better reflect the acquisitions’ cash generation. However, ADES has its own method. Apparently, net debt needs to be measured against both Ebitda from existing rigs and revenues for “newly acquired contracted rigs”, which are then annualised and multiplied by a 35 per cent Ebitda margin and a 90 per cent utilisation rate.
Such a massive adjustment might satisfy banking covenants, but for practical purposes it is impossible to verify. Indeed, the company would not provide us with the figures it used to calculate a “pro-forma” net debt to Ebitda ratio of 2.4, perhaps because this suggests Ebitda hit $177m, or 86 per cent of revenues, in 2018.
That’s confusing, not least because operating costs rose to $108m in the period. Far preferable would have been acknowledgement of the unflattering timing of these accounts from a debt ratio perspective, and a clear leverage ratio target for the end of 2019.
Analysts at Canaccord Genuity forecast adjusted earnings of $2.07 per share in 2019, rising to $2.38 in 2020.
ADES INTERNATIONAL (ADES) | ||||
ORD PRICE: | 1,386¢ | MARKET VALUE: | £460m | |
TOUCH: | 1,360-1,395¢ | 12-MONTH HIGH: | 1,750¢ | LOW: 1,190¢ |
DIVIDEND YIELD: | nil | PE RATIO: | 8 | |
NET ASSET VALUE: | 969¢* | NET DEBT: | 100% |
Year to 31 Dec | Turnover ($m) | Pre-tax profit ($m) | Earnings per share (¢) | Dividend per share (¢) |
2014* | 75.2 | 23.2 | n/a | nil |
2015* | 101 | 25.6 | n/a | nil |
2016 | 134 | 41.3 | 119 | nil |
2017 | 158 | 44.6 | 116 | nil |
2018 | 206 | 79.4 | 175 | nil |
% change | +30 | +78 | +51 | - |
Ex-div: | na | |||
Payment: | na | |||
*Pre-IPO figures £1=$1.32 |