Join our community of smart investors

Quartix driving ahead

The telematics group is focusing increasingly on fleet over insurance opportunities
June 27, 2019

Vehicle telematics – tracking and data analysis – is a crowded market, but Aim-traded Quartix (QTX) appears to have found itself an attractive niche. The company generates 80 per cent of sales from its fleet business, which targets small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Its average customer has a fleet of just under 10 vehicles. These customers are relatively 'sticky' – the group's overall attrition rate (customers with Quartix's tracking devices installed but not subscribed to the service) is 11.9 per cent, below the industry average of 14 to 15 per cent.

 

IC TIP: Buy at 286p
Tip style
Income
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points

Growth of fleet business
High levels of recurring revenues
Positive free cash flow
Decent dividend yield

Bear points

Competitive market
Lower short-term revenue forecasts

The company continues to sign up new SMEs at a pace based on the strength of its product and its focus on flexible 12-month contracts. This led to 10 per cent growth in recurring fleet revenues last year despite a slow first half. Meanwhile, recurring revenue accounts for about 90 per cent of all fleet sales, which underpins visibility. 

Earlier this month, the company told shareholders that first-half trading was ahead of expectations, with full-year revenues expected to be at least £25m compared with consensus estimates of £24.1m. Meanwhile, adjusted cash profits and free cash flows should “at least” meet market forecasts. Despite the top line progress, earnings forecasts have not moved because the cost of installing new telematics units, which is expensed as incurred, means delayed bottom-line gratification.

First-half fleet installations should be up by around 45 per cent year on year, with revenue up £1m to over £10m. The subscription base is projected to land at 137,000 – up from 112,530. And beyond its existing markets (UK, France and the US), which are ticking along well, the group has seen good early results from its marketing initiatives in Poland and Spain, having won around 40 new clients in each country. Quartix reckons that SMEs in the Hispanic community represent a major market opportunity.

Despite the encouraging progress in fleet, a glance at the accompanying table shows sales and earnings are set to shrink in the 2019 financial year before gradually improving. This reflects Quartix's decision to reducing its involvement in lower-margin insurance tracking operations. In the first half of the current year, its insurance revenues will fall by around £1.3m to just a fifth of total sales.

Quartix (QTX)   
ORD PRICE:286pMARKET VALUE:£137m 
TOUCH:284-288p12-MONTH HIGH:380pLOW:215p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:4.1%FORWARD PE RATIO:23 
NET ASSET VALUE:36.3p*NET CASH:£6.8m  
Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)**Earnings per share (p)**Dividend per share (p)
201623.36.712.911.2
201724.57.113.113.5
201825.78.214.512.4
2019**25.36.511.611.6
2020**25.86.812.311.8
% change+2+5+6+2
Normal market size:500    
Beta:-0.11    
*Includes intangible assets of £14m, or 29p a share
**finnCap forecasts, adjusted EPS and PTP figures