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AFH Financial’s steady progress

The wealth manager is on track to hit its “three to five year aspirational targets”
January 21, 2020

AFH Financial (AFHP) reported “steady progress” towards its long-term goals this week, as the financial planning-led wealth manager unveiled stable margins, a 40 per cent rise in funds under management, and another leap in revenues in its October year-end financial statement.

IC TIP: Buy at 385p

Earnings also strengthened, thanks to a switch in the revenue model within the group’s protection broking division. Here, underlying cash profits doubled to £5.4m, while the gross margin ticked up from 44 to 54 per cent.

That has also boosted cash generation, which should provide further evidence to investors that AFH’s historically acquisition-dominated strategy can be self-funded. On this front, discernment has been the watchword, as management concentrates on technology investments and organic revenue growth.

Should an attractive takeover target appear, then the post-period signing of a £12m loan facility with HSBC has given the group flexibility to move quickly and avoid the need to tap the equity market. Chief executive Alan Hudson reports a strong pipeline of potential deals, but has relaxed his valuation criteria from four to five times’ cash profits for larger high-quality candidates.

Broker Liberum expects adjusted earnings of 32.7p per share for the year to October 2020, and 36.8p in FY2021.

AFH Financial  (AFHP)    
ORD PRICE:385pMARKET VALUE:£165m  
TOUCH:383-387p12-MONTH HIGH:390pLOW:260p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.1%PE RATIO:15  
NET ASSET VALUE:184p*NET DEBT:5%  
Year to 31 OctTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201521.01.596.02.25
201624.12.037.23.00
201733.63.5111.24.00
201850.77.7916.06.00
201974.313.725.48.00
% change+47+76+59+33
Ex Div:30 Jan & 11 Jun   
Payment:14 Feb & 3 Jul   
*Includes intangible assets of £105m, or 245p a share. Dividend paid in separate 3p & 5p tranches.