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Stobart in for the long haul

RESULTS: Stobart's business model looks interesting but the recession is getting in the way
May 12, 2009

Stobart's maiden year as a listed company makes comparisons difficult, but a reduced dividend at least gives the board room for manoeuvre in an environment where finance for capital projects is still hard to find. Meanwhile, the company's 'pay-as-you-go' approach to hiring out its vehicles, along with ongoing diversification, seems to be showing resilience in the downturn.

IC TIP: Hold at 105p

The overwhelming core of the business is still Stobart's road haulage operation, which contributed revenues of £387m and earnings after fleet finance costs (EAFFC) of £24.5m. This included the James Irlam and Innovate businesses, which were acquired for a total of £63m and contributed combined revenues during the period of £114m. Stobart Rail, which the company hopes will become a mainstay of the business, generated revenues of £38.2m and EAFFC of £3.5m, underpinned by strong demand for railway infrastructure expertise. Management also hopes to take advantage of the long-term trend for moving more goods by rail and reduce its exposure to the oil price. The company also made an offer to buy Carlisle airport for £14m.

Chief executive Andrew Tinkler said the decision to reduce the dividend was taken in part to keep up to £5m of cash on the balance sheet. He said that while obtaining working capital finance has not been a problem, asset-backed financing is still difficult and it would be prudent to build up some reserves to fund capital expenditure.

Broker estimates are currently under review.

STOBART GROUP (STOB)

ORD PRICE:105pMARKET VALUE:£254m
TOUCH:103-105p12-MONTH HIGH:143pLOW: 71p
DIVIDEND YIELD:5.7%PE RATIO:11
NET ASSET VALUE:115p*NET DEBT:43%

Year to 28 FebTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2008**1083.52.328.0
200943123.99.816.0
% change+299+583+323-25

Ex-div: 20 May

Payment: 22 Jun

*Includes intangible assets of £223m, or 92p a share **14 months

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