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Enlarged Breedon faces Brexit tests

Despite record underlying profits, the group saw a decline on a like-for-like basis
March 8, 2019

Breedon (BREE) delivered results slightly ahead of analyst expectations despite a deteriorating trading backdrop in 2018. Nevertheless, although returns trumped consensus, underlying operating profits were down 6 per cent on a like-for-like basis, partly a consequence of increased input costs. Scaling up a business can often help on the cost front and the construction materials group certainly went on the acquisition trail in 2018, including a £455m marquee deal to acquire industry peer Lagan Group (Holdings).

IC TIP: Buy at 68.7p

Besides the additional scale afforded by the deal – underlying operating profits exceeded £100m for the first time – it gives the group enhanced access to the Irish market. Construction output grew more than 6 per cent in the Republic of Ireland, compared with Great Britain and Northern Ireland where activity was only “modestly ahead”. However, the threat posed by a 'no-deal' Brexit to the Irish economy is acute, even by comparison with the UK.

The group also made two further acquisitions – Staffs Concrete in the West Midlands and Blinkbonny Quarry in south-east Scotland – along with an asset swap of 23 of its ready-mixed concrete plants and £6.1m in cash for four quarries and an asphalt plant from Tarmac. Scale benefits from the buying spree will take time to accrue, so we'll get a better idea of how integration is proceeding at the half-year mark.

Analyst Peel Hunt is forecasting adjusted 2019 pre-tax profits of £101m, giving EPS of 4.8p, up from £92m and 4.7p in 2018.

BREEDON (BREE)   
ORD PRICE:68.7pMARKET VALUE:£1.15bn
TOUCH:68.2-69.2p12-MONTH HIGH:86pLOW: 55p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:17
NET ASSET VALUE:46p*NET DEBT:40%
Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201427021.41.70nil
201531931.02.30nil
201645547.02.90nil
201765271.23.98nil
201886379.94.01nil
% change+32+12+1-
Ex-div:na   
Payment:na   
*Includes intangible assets of £467m, or 28p a share