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Buy into African infrastructure with Helios Towers

The telecoms company has one of the largest tower portfolios on the continent – and it is growing
June 4, 2020

Helios Towers (HTWS) is a telecommunications infrastructure company focused on Africa and is the owner of one of the continent’s most extensive tower portfolios. Over four-fifths of revenue comes from Africa's big five mobile operators, which are signed up to long-term contracts to use towers in its 7,000-strong network. The group aims to have 12,000 towers by the end of 2025. Helios is the leading operator in Tanzania, Democratic Republic of Congo (‘DRC’) and Congo Brazzaville. It also has a presence in Ghana and entered into the South African market in 2019.

IC TIP: Buy at 162p
Tip style
Growth
Risk rating
High
Timescale
Long Term
Bull points

Structural growth in African telecoms 

Strong revenue visibility

Ambitious growth targets

Rising tower tenancies

Bear points

High net debt

The group, which listed on the London Stock Exchange last October, buys towers held by single operators and then provides infrastructure services to both the seller and other operators. This allows operators to outsource some of their tower-related activities, freeing up cash to support other parts of their businesses; a trend that may receive added impetus from the coronavirus crisis. 

Helios still has plenty of room to grow in Africa, too, as mobile penetration is relatively low. In DRC for example, with a population of around 50m people, Helios believes only around 50 per cent have mobile network coverage. And the group’s presence is only getting stronger: its tenancy ratio (the average number of customers using each tower) grew to 2.1 at the end of March from 2.01 at the start of 2019. This is important as the internal rate of return (IRR) from each tower rises significantly with the number of tenancies. Broker Numis estimates an IRR of 9 per cent with one customer, 19 per cent with two and 31 per cent with three. 

The group’s ambitions are not cheap, with net debt at the end of March of three times adjusted cash profit. Still, there is a good amount of cash and undrawn debt on hand of $231m (£188m) and as a company that supports critical infrastructure, demand is largely resilient. That said, its dependence on relatively few, albeit higher quality, customers does present risks. Last year, debtor days (the average wait for customers to pay their bills less advanced payments) increased from 30 to 57 days, with 73 per cent relating to a single customer. This is worth keeping an eye on. The region it operates in also poses political and currency risk – although Numis calculates that about 70 per cent of free cash flow is in hard currencies, mainly US dollars. 

So far management has not flagged an operational impact from coronavirus, and with telecoms infrastructure classed as an essential service, revenues have held up at $101.8m in the first quarter, up 2 per cent from the final three months of 2019. This relative safety has meant that the market has also been upbeat on the group’s performance, recently pushing Helios Towers up into the IC Ideas Farm’s new 52-week highs list.

Helios Towers (HTWS)    
ORD PRICE:150pMARKET VALUE:£1.5bn  
TOUCH:150-151p12-MONTH HIGH:179pLOW:82.0p
FORWARD DIVIDEND YIELD:8.1%FORWARD PE RATIO:29  
NET ASSET VALUE:11.3ȼNET DEBT:$653m*  
Year to 31 DecTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)**Earnings per share (ȼ)**Dividend per share (ȼ) 
2018**356-12014.0nil 
2019388-12-7.9nil 
2020***427412.5nil 
2021***471896.515.0 
% change+10+119+160- 
Normal market size:     
Beta:0.43    
*Includes lease liabilities of $129m
**Pre-IPO figures     
***Numis forecasts, adjusted PTP and EPS figures
£1=$1.2