Join our community of smart investors

Novae makes progress

RESULTS: Novae is making solid underwriting profit and premium rates are up - yet the shares trade a churlish discount to expected net tangible assets
August 3, 2012

With 2011's painful catastrophe losses now in the past, Lloyd's insurer Novae delivered a solidly profitable half-year combined ratio (of claims to premiums) of 93 per cent - a big improvement on the loss-making 111 per cent ratio in the first half last year. Yet the shares, which trade below brokers' estimates for full-year net tangible assets, remain churlishly rated for the sector.

IC TIP: Buy at 364p

Indeed, Novae's return on equity rose to 14.5 per cent - a big improvement on the single-digit figures seen a few years back - and premium rates grew 1 per cent overall. Within that, the property reinsurance book saw rates rise 3.6 per cent, while the reinsurance general liability and motor account grew rates 4.1 per cent., although most other business lines did experience some modest rate slippage. The investment book looks in reasonable shape, too - despite being focused entirely on safe-looking bonds and cash, it managed an annualised yield of 2.3 per cent.

Broker Peel Hunt expects full-year pre-tax profit of £25.3m, adjusted EPS of 28.7p and net tangible assets (NTA) of 413.8p.

NOVAE (NVA)

ORD PRICE:364pMARKET VALUE:£234m
TOUCH:360-367p12-MONTH HIGH:381pLOW: 281p
DIVIDEND YIELD:5.1%PE RATIO:9
NET ASSET VALUE: 427pCOMBINED RATIO:93%

Half-year to 30 JunNet premiums (£m)Pretax profit (£m)Investment return (£m)Dividend per share (p)
2011250-29.711.45.00
201226312.513.45.50
% change+5-+18+10

Ex-div: 5 Sep

Payment: 3 Oct

Capacity owned: 100%